|When Fantasy Meets Reality|
|Diary of a Fantasy Madman|
|Written by Zach Steinhorn|
|Sunday, 13 October 2013 00:00|
Who says fantasy baseball doesn’t mimic the real thing? Trust me, it does. And how do I know? Because I spent three hours figuring it all out. Using the real 2013 end of season team stats for the traditional 5x5 rotisserie categories and imagining a 30-team roto league, the final standings would look like this:
Red Sox 230.5
Blue Jays 149.5
White Sox 101.5
And just in case you don’t believe me, here’s the Excel spreadsheet to prove it.
So, what’s the difference between the real final standings and the fantasy final standings? Not much. Let’s take a look.
AL East: Same
AL Central: Twins 4th place and White Sox last place in real standings
AL West: Athletics 1st place and Rangers 2nd place in real standings
NL East: Same
NL Central: Same
NL West: Padres 3rd place and Rockies last place in real standings
FANTASY LEAGUE PLAYOFF TEAMS
AL: Rangers (West), Red Sox (East), Tigers (Central), Athletics (WC), Rays (WC)
NL: Braves (East), Cardinals (Central), Dodgers (West), Pirates (WC), Reds (WC)
I feel bad for the Rangers organization. I really do. First, they lose back-to-back World Series, Then last year, they drop a one-game wild card playoff against the Orioles. This season, they lose a tiebreaker game to the Rays. And now this? Despite ranking first in our fictitious roto league, they couldn’t even make it to the postseason in the version of the game that isn’t played on a spreadsheet.
Now listen, I’ll be the first to admit that this study is limited, as 10 statistical categories is a tiny fraction of the many factors that come into play when determining a team’s on-field success. But the fact that these 10 statistical categories so accurately modeled the actual standings is pretty impressive.
Last I checked, Jon Daniels has plenty of job security in his role as Rangers GM. But if the club ever gets sick of him and opts to part ways, I’ll be the first one to place a recruiting call.
Maybe hiring Daniels as co-GM is just what my Tout Wars franchise needs.
|Last Updated on Sunday, 13 October 2013 08:52|