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Monday 26th Jun 2017

Week 10 features just four teams on byes (Bills, Lions, Colts and Raiders). Several games pop out on the card including Falcons-Eagles, Packers-Titans and Cowboys-Steelers. Expect to see high ownership in both of those games. Speaking of high ownership, I see no way to fade Cardinals RB David Johnson in any game. If there was ever a “lock” for big points, Johnson would be it.

Four of our five quarterbacks come from the three featured games mentioned above. The other is a flier (and one that will make you sweat) in a great matchup – one Jay Cutler. Any QB playing against the Bucs needs to be considered.

QB Aaron Rodgers GB 7600 Another good matchup - still no running game
QB Matt Ryan Atl 7300 Another high total for QB on a roll all season
QB Ben Roethlisberger Pit 6800 Should be fine one week back off injury
QB Marcus Mariota Ten 5700 15 TDs in past five games
QB Jay Cutler Chi 5300 Big risk, great matchup

Cheap Charcandrick West did not work out so well last week. In searching for cheap options for Week 10, I stumbled on Chris Ivory at only $3400 coming off a big game under the Jags new offensive coordinator. Ivory also scored a TD in real life which replay fails to overturn to make it count.

RB David Johnson Ari 8400 Only injury keeps him short of scoring 30
RB Ezekiel Elliott Dal 7900 Consistently earning 3x salary
RB Le'Veon Bell Pit 7700 36 catches in five games - no TDs is a pure anomaly
RB Jay Ajayi Mia 7000 High price but great past three games
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 6900 Consistently excellent
RB Devonta Freeman Atl 6800 Stopped several times at goal line last week
RB Chris Ivory Jax 3400 High-risk off one good game

We have a long list of viable wide receivers in Week 10. The challenge is that you are almost forced to pay up at running back, making it very difficult to construct a roster with any of the three highest priced receivers.

 

WR Julio Jones Atl 9500 Disappeared too many times this season
WR Mike Evans TB 9000 At least 11 targets in every game except the first one
WR Antonio Brown Pit 8900 Worried owners for three quarters but was just fine
WR Demaryius Thomas Den 6700 Ten targets in each of past four after four straight with seven
WR Alshon Jeffery Chi 6600 Another high risk, high reward candidate
WR Randall Cobb GB 6400 Have to consider Packers receivers when healthy
WR Davante Adams GB 6300 See Cobb
WR Stefon Diggs Min 6200 Was a target-monster last week
WR Michael Thomas NO 6100 Has been just a monster all season - tough matchup
WR Julian Edelman NE 6000 Salary keeps dropping - will break out soon
WR Chris Hogan NE 4500 Been making big plays in Pats offense

Finally some potential value at the lower end of the tight end list. Just remember what Zach Ertz did in the games prior to Week 9. Austin Hooper is a nice cheap TE play if Jacob Tamme is out again and does not need to do much at his price to earn 3-4x his price.

 

TE Rob Gronkowski NE 6900 Steep price to pay but getting his targets
TE Jordan Reed Was 6200 In-game concussion is always a concern
TE Greg Olsen Car 5900 Belongs in the upper-tier of tight ends
TE Delanie Walker Ten 4600 Good chemistry with Mariota
TE Zach Ertz Phi 3700 A wakeup call - can he repeat?
TE Austin Hooper Atl 3100 A very cheap option if Tamme is out again

Hitting on a defense continues to be a challenge. We were fortunate last week with the late TD kickoff return by the Dolphins. The Cardinals seem like too obvious of a choice.

 

DST Cardinals Ari 3700 Should force plenty of SF turnovers
DST Redskins Was 3000 Minnesota has not been protecting QB very well
DST Rams LA 2900 Game vs. Jets could end up 3-3
DST Chargers SD 2900 Been generating a lot of points on defense
DST Jets NYJ 2800 See Rams comment above

Here is my DraftKings GPP game lineup as of today:

QB Marcus Mariota Ten 5700
RB David Johnson Ari 8400
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 6900
WR Michael Thomas NO 6100
WR Alshon Jeffery Chi 6600
WR Chris Hogan NE 4500
TE Delanie Walker Ten 4600
RB Chris Ivory Jax 3400
DST Cardinals Ari 3700
      49900

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