Week 11 is the last major week of byes (Falcons, Chargers, Broncos, Jets). Then only the Browns and Titans (Week 13) will have byes remaining. From a DFS perspective, it does not really matter, but from a season-long game perspective, I wish that the NFL would just have eight teams on byes in Weeks 6-9 and get them all out of the way. There is no reason to have some teams with byes in Week 4 and others more than two months later. The Titans-Colts game pops off the chart with a whopping Vegas total of 53 and a close point spread. As we saw last week in the Steelers-Cowboys game, a ton of points can be racked up with teams going back and forth in the fourth quarter. How many more points could Marcus Mariota have scored last week if the Packers could have kept the game closer?
There is no shortage of viable QB options in Week 11. Some figure to be on the positive side of blowouts, which usually provides a nice floor but a limited ceiling. Titans-Colts and Packers-Redskins figure to be close back-and-forth games.
|QB||Tom Brady||NE||7800||Disappointed on Sunday night - fear running TDs|
|QB||Aaron Rodgers||GB||7600||GB is all pass with no defense|
|QB||Ben Roethlisberger||Pit||7500||Needs early TD passes as Pit figures to roll Cle|
|QB||Andrew Luck||Ind||7200||Highest Vegas total we have seen in a long time|
|QB||Marcus Mariota||Ten||6700||See Luck - can't deny how great he has played|
|QB||Eli Manning||NYG||6300||Giants should steamroll Chi but Eli has failed before|
|QB||Kirk Cousins||Was||5800||GB will score, so Wash will have to keep up|
It is becoming very apparent that the upper-echelon running backs have returned to the NFL. The weekly “formula” has been to fill up with high-priced backs and save at receiver. All four of the guys at the top figure to put up big numbers again.
|RB||Le'Veon Bell||Pit||8800||Best matchup of the upper tier backs|
|RB||DeMarco Murray||Ten||8200||Been as good as the Dallas days|
|RB||Ezekiel Elliott||Dal||8000||Speaking of Dallas - earning every bit of first round|
|RB||David Johnson||Ari||7900||27 was a disappointment - Minn will be a test|
|RB||LeSean McCoy||Buf||6900||Should be back to full health - will be overlooked|
|RB||Frank Gore||Ind||5000||Fits with Colts stacks - catches passes and scores|
|RB||C.J. Prosise||Sea||4200||Bulk of work in Seattle and all the passes|
|RB||Kenneth Dixon||Bal||3900||Looked good last week|
Very hard to justify a lineup with more than one of the high-priced receivers. There is just too much value in the mid-tier receivers and too much risk in the lower tier backs.
|WR||Antonio Brown||Pit||9500||Very expensive and might be out before 4th quarter|
|WR||Odell Beckham Jr.||NYG||8500||Bears defense can get torched|
|WR||Jordy Nelson||GB||7800||I can't explain it - but getting most of the looks|
|WR||T.Y. Hilton||Ind||7700||Colts stack|
|WR||Stefon Diggs||Min||7000||34 catches on 42 targets in past three games|
|WR||Julian Edelman||NE||6300||Been disappointing but coming on lately|
|WR||Donte Moncrief||Ind||6100||Very cheap in the Colts stack|
|WR||Terrelle Pryor Sr.||Cle||5600||Steelers D will give up some points|
|WR||Golden Tate||Det||5300||Re-emerged as top dog in Detroit|
|WR||Sterling Shepard||NYG||4700||Great hands and knack for end zone|
|WR||Tyreek Hill||KC||4500||Consider if Maclin is out again|
|WR||Eli Rogers||Pit||4300||Underpriced value|
Finally, I hit on a DFS tight end last week. Why do I feel like that was more luck than skill? The tight end spot has been an absolute crap shoot in 2016. Any of the five below could excel, or they could just lay an egg.
|TE||Jordan Reed||Was||5900||Tight end seems like a wasteland - Reed gets targets|
|TE||Delanie Walker||Ten||5700||Been the shining star of the TE group|
|TE||Eric Ebron||Det||4100||Highly inconsistent|
|TE||Kyle Rudolph||Min||3900||Been Diggs and Rudolph in Minn|
|TE||Martellus Bennett||NE||3700||Moves up if Gronk is out|
There are a few home teams that are big favorites. They are always a threat to get out to a big lead and generate defensive points when their opponent has no choice but to pass on every down.
|DST||Patriots||NE||3600||Have to look at anyone playing SF, but Ari failed|
|DST||Giants||NYG||3500||Defense improving and Bears are a mess|
|DST||Chiefs||KC||3400||KC at home against mistake-prone TB|
|DST||Lions||Det||3200||Det defense not great, but Jax turns the ball over|
|DST||Dolphins||Mia||2900||Defense has really stepped it up lately|
Last week, the Titans stack and a late switch to Shepard from Hogan (in a full-slate tournament) put me in the money. Here is my DraftKings GPP game lineup as of today. I may be over-Colted and I would like to figure out how to get a Titan or two into the lineup.