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Wednesday 18th Oct 2017

We enter Week 14 with the Bucs in first place. I must say that I did not see that one coming. But their defense has held strong recently and their passing offense has been really good. Now the Saints come down to Tampa (in fact, the Bucs play the Saints two of the next three weeks) in what is the highest Vegas point total on the board.

Drew Brees and Jameis Winston highlight the QB list to no surprise. I am torn on Marcus Mariota. He has been playing so well and nobody will be on him this week. Eli Manning is due for one of those big games, but I just don’t know if he has it in him.

QB Drew Brees NO 7400 Tampa will not keep the ball away like the Lions did
QB Jameis Winston TB 6700 Anyone vs. the Saints
QB Philip Rivers SD 6600 In a good spot
QB Russell Wilson Sea 6600 Packers pass defense not up to NFL standards
QB Kirk Cousins Was 6300 Looking to keep Redskins in race and guarantee money
QB Marcus Mariota Ten 6200 Bad spot but playing so well
QB Eli Manning NYG 5500 Makes me very nervous but in a good situation for points

With a couple of cheap wide receivers, you can still fit David Johnson or Le'Veon Bell in your lineup. However, dropping down to LeSean McCoy to save the money does allow a ton of flexibility. As long as there are no vultured touchdowns.

RB David Johnson Ari 9800 Not priced high enough yet
RB Le'Veon Bell Pit 9000 Not a good spot - but matchup proof catching passes
RB LeSean McCoy Buf 8200 Touchdown vulture hurting total - $1600 discount from Johnson
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 7000 Rest helps toe recover
RB Matt Forte NYJ 6800 As long as Jets don’t fall behind - in for big game
RB Jeremy Hill Cin 5800 Torched Browns on limited carries in first meeting
RB Thomas Rawls Sea 5700 Showed he is all the way back
RB Carlos Hyde SF 4900 Only legitimate 49er weapon
RB Darren Sproles Phi 4400 As long as Mathews is still out

Mike Evans will be in my lineup this week at all costs. I will be surprised if Evans is not the highest scoring receiver in the league this week. Taylor Gabriel is also a recent favorite of Matt Ryan and should see more targets with Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu banged up.

WR Mike Evans TB 8900 How does he not have ten catches this week?
WR Michael Thomas NO 6700 Brees' top target
WR Golden Tate Det 6600 Fits right in with recent Lions short pass style
WR Emmanuel Sanders Den 5700 Can beat Titans downfield
WR Jamison Crowder Was 5600 Still not being taken as a legitimate threat
WR Allen Robinson Jax 5000 Price pick only
WR Randall Cobb GB 5000 With Sherman likely on Nelson - maybe this is the week?
WR Tyler Boyd Cin 4900 Filling the Green targets
WR Dontrelle Inman SD 4800 Scoring with good target numbers
WR Taylor Gabriel Atl 4300 Becoming a popular Ryan target
WR J.J. Nelson Ari 3600 Someone besides Fitz has to step up

Jimmy Graham and Cameron Brate fit into my two favorite QB-WR-TE stacks this week. There is no “safe” place to go for tight end numbers.

TE Jimmy Graham Sea 5500 Seahawks stack should be popular this week
TE Zach Ertz Phi 4900 Double digit targets in two of the past three
TE Delanie Walker Ten 4400 See Mariota above
TE Cameron Brate TB 4100 In the Bucs stack
TE Ladarius Green Pit 3900 Price going up but producing with Pitt short receivers
TE Vance McDonald SF 3000 Good goal line target

I certainly can’t argue with going for any of the top three defenses but I am having trouble fitting one of them in my lineup, so I am looking further down the list at Miami and San Diego.

DST Vikings Min 3900 Anyone vs. Jax is high on the list - but you pay a price
DST Lions Det 3600 Lions playing keep-away helping their defense
DST Bengals Cin 3500 Cleveland and RGIII
DST Dolphins Mia 2600 Should be better at home vs. QB who can't move
DST Chargers SD 2600 Carolina has pretty much mailed it in

We will see if the Bucs stack can outscore the Seahawks stack. 

QB Jameis Winston TB 6700
RB Jeremy Hill Cin 5800
RB LeSean McCoy Buf 8200
WR Mike Evans TB 8900
WR Taylor Gabriel Atl 4300
WR Dontrelle Inman SD 4800
TE Cameron Brate TB 4100
DST Chargers SD 2600
RB Darren Sproles Phi 4400

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