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Wednesday 18th Oct 2017

Christmas and Hanukkah week is upon us and the NFL has a full weekend slate to keep NFL fans healthy. The Week 16 schedule begins with the Giants-Eagles game on Thursday, followed by a full 1:00, 4:00 and night game on Saturday, two more on Sunday and finally Lions-Cowboys on Monday. I know many of you will be sweating out season-long league championship games over that five-day stretch. But for the main slate DraftKings DFS players, we have 12 games on Christmas Eve day.

Six of the seven QB’s on the list are in the three Vegas over 52 total games. Not going much out on a limb here. All are in very good spots to post numbers. Game flow will determine which QB’s outperform the others.

QB Drew Brees NO 7400 The game vs. TB two weeks ago was a fluke
QB Matt Ryan Atl 7200 Should be another up and down the field game
QB Andrew Luck Ind 7000 Playing for their playoff lives
QB Kirk Cousins Was 6800 The only QB on this list not in an over 52 game
QB Derek Carr Oak 6800 Uncomfortable with finger injury but getting by
QB Cam Newton Car 6600 Cam not running but Atl defense has holes
QB Jameis Winston TB 6500 Could have beaten Dal with better fourth quarter

With LeVeon Bell off the main slate and David Johnson in a tough match-up, we have the chance to slide down a little at RB and save some money for WRs. LeSean McCoy was under $7k six of the first seven weeks of the season and has now hit $9k.

RB David Johnson Ari 9200 Is he totally match-up proof? 
RB LeSean McCoy Buf 9000 Hitting the elite price range
RB Devonta Freeman Atl 7100 Worried about Coleman
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 7000 Two TDs vultured by Henry last week
RB Latavius Murray Oak 6200 Needs to hold onto the ball
RB Bilal Powell NYJ 6000 Very high volume PPR option with Forte injured
RB Ty Montgomery GB 5900 Will be the hot choice this week. DK moves him to RB
RB Carlos Hyde SF 5800 Faltered last week but always in a good spot
RB Thomas Rawls Sea 5100 O-line could not block for him last week
RB Kenneth Farrow SD 5000 Elite match-up for average RB
RB Mark Ingram NO 4400 Pouting worked for Cooks

Mike Evans tops my WR list again, but he's coming off three straight poor games. I do not see a fourth. Wide receiver ownership should be spread out with plenty of very good options on the board across all price ranges.

WR Mike Evans TB 8500 Big price is a risk with three straight games under 10
WR T.Y. Hilton Ind 7800 Disappointed vs. Min but 23 targets in two games prior
WR Michael Crabtree Oak 6100 Double-digit targets in four of past eight
WR Michael Thomas NO 6000 Ten targets after missing a week
WR Dontrelle Inman SD 6000 Favorable match-up but Rivers spreads the wealth
WR Davante Adams GB 5400 Looking to rebound from two dropped TDs
WR DeAndre Hopkins Hou 5200 Thank you Tom Savage
WR Tyler Lockett Sea 4800 Finally healthy and a great weapon for Wilson
WR Cameron Meredith Chi 4700 Took awhile to develop the rapport with Barkley
WR J.J. Nelson Ari 4400 Taking advantage of drunken Floyd's departure
WR Kenny Stills Mia 3900 Big play guy at low price

Tight end has been an enigma all season. Too many times the expensive guys just did not perform. There always seems to be a min-price player coming through each week. 

TE Greg Olsen Car 5200 Elbow a concern with a weak TE group
TE Jimmy Graham Sea 4500 Big price drop after back-to-back one-catch games
TE Delanie Walker Ten 4300 Attractive price in this spot
TE Cameron Brate TB 3900 Catching everything near him
TE Ryan Griffin Hou 3300 Missed him last week at min price with C.J. out
TE Dion Sims Mia 2600 Near min price with four TDs in past four games

The Patriots are clearly the stand-out defense and if they get ahead early, it could be real trouble. There are several other high potential defenses at a discount if you do not trust the Patriots.

DST Patriots NE 3600 Score depends only on how interested NE is
DST Titans Ten 3400 Sacks and turnovers
DST Chargers SD 3400 Continuing with defenses against Cle theme
DST Bengals Cin 3200 Not completely buying the Savage hype
DST Dolphins Mia 3000 Playing at a very high level
DST 49ers SF 2800 Ultimate punt against the Rams

Here is my planned GPP lineup, led by the two Bucs main men. 

QB Jameis Winston TB 6500
RB Bilal Powell NYJ 6000
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 7000
WR Mike Evans TB 8500
WR Tyler Lockett Sea 4800
WR DeAndre Hopkins Hou 5200
WR Michael Thomas NO 6000
TE Dion Sims Mia 2600
DST Chargers SD 3400

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