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Sunday 22nd Oct 2017

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Welcome to "You Look FAABulous", our look at the FAAB reports for Tout Wars and LABR. Each week, your friends at Mastersball will post the results of the weekly Tout Wars and LABR FAAB run, featuring the winning bid as well a the runner-up bids.

Included with each league report will be commentary from a Mastersball staff member participating in that league. We invite you to ask questions and post comments at the bottom of the report.

All contingency bids for awarded players are included. Sometimes, this bid is tied to a player that the owner received, so at times the bid amount is larger than the winning bid. We are including it to provide as much information and context as possible with each report.

There are five Tout Wars leagues, a 12-team AL only, 12-team NL only, 15-team Mixed Auction League, 15-team Mixed Draft League and a brand new 12-team Mixed Auction Head to head format. All use on-base-percentage instead of batting average with the Head to Head league also using other unique categories. You can see the complete standings for each league by clicking on the appropriate heading, located just under each player photo.

Here is the Tout Wars report. LABR was posted earlier.

jeremy hellickson

AMERICAN LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS  

PLAYER WINNING BID      
JHellickson, Bal Nando DiFino 202 Jason Collette 62 Rob Leibowitz 36 Lawr Michaels 25
    Larry Schechter 15 Jeff Erickson 5 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
JHicks, Det Chris Liss 108 Seth Trachtman 1 Rob Leibowitz 33 Patrick Davitt 9
THildenberger, Min Patrick Davitt 59      
MBelisle, Min Larry Schechter 53 Mike Podhorzer 53 Jason Collette 52 Seth Trachtman 48
    Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 21 Steve Moyer 7 Jeff Erickson 5
APruitt, TB Jeff Erickson 33      
TWhite, Hou Jason Collette 32 Steve Moyer 7 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3  
NMartinez, Tex Rob Leibowitz 31      
WMiley, Bal Lawr Michaels 17 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2    
RRefsnyder, Tor Nando DiFino 14 Jeff Erickson 1    
AReed, Bos Jason Collette 13 Rob Leibowitz 14 Larry Schechter 8 Jeff Erickson 5
    Seth Trachtman 3    
DButera, KC Seth Trachtman 10      
TRogers, Min Larry Schechter 9      
NDelmonico, CWS Steve Moyer 7 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0 Jason Collette 12  
JCenteno, Hou Jason Collette 5 Seth Trachtman 1    
JCandelario, Det Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3      
UJimenez, Bal Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2      
DBarney, Tor Jeff Erickson 1 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3 Chris Liss 0  
JGraterol, LAA Rob Leibowitz 0      
MAndriese, TB Seth Trachtman 0      
AEngel, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0      
JHardy, Bal Chris Liss 0      

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER        
AAlmonte, Cle Jason Collette 12                                                    
JDDavis, Hou Jason Collette 12      
YGallardo, Sea Jeff Erickson 11 Lawr Michaels 8    
SCishek, TB Jason Collette 5      
BMaurer, KC Rob Leibowitz 2 Larry Schechter 1    
DGarneau, Oak Seth Trachtman 2      
MBarnes, Bos Rob Leibowitz 2      
RTepera, Tor Larry Schechter 1      
TDuffey, Min Larry Schechter 1      

Lawr Michaels' Commentary

While AL LABR had a cluster of moves last week, AL Tout was a lot more active with a lot more change being distributed covering the free agent market.

Nando DiFino made the big buy gambling $202 for Jeremy Hellickson plus adding Rob Refsnyder ($14) to help out in the infield. Chris Liss then dropped $108 for John Hicks while Patrick Davitt expended $59 for Twin Trevor Hidenberger. That makes Larry Schechter's $53 for Matt Belisle--the most expensive LABR FAAB pickup this week--the fourth highest price paid for a player this cycle. Schechter also attempted to augment his pitching with Trevor Rogers ($9).

Jeff Erickson added Austin Pruitt ($33 along with Darwin Barney for $1), second placer Jason Collette copped Tyler White ($32) along with Austin Reed ($13) and Juan Centeno ($5) with Rob Leibowitz going $31 for Nick Martinez while grabbing Juan Graterol ($0) to augment his catching corps.

I then spent $17 on Wade Miley, while Seth Trachtman went for Drew Butera ($10) and Matt Andriese ($0). Ubaldo Jimenez ($2) and Jeimer Candelario ($3) are new to team Colton-Wolf and that was the bulk of pertinent purchases this time.

Todd's Take

The relationships I'm about to reference are significant, but perhaps not strong. So while you're reading it, thinking "even bad teams can get saves" is true, but there is method to the madness of projecting saves. Saves correlate to wins. That is, teams winning more games generally accrue more saves. The percentage of wins that are saved correlate closest to ERA, as opposed to run differential or runs scored. On average, 52 percent of wins are saved, though this season the number is just under 48 percent.

While Brandon Kinztler was with the Twins, he saved 28 of their wins, 56 percent. Further, the club's ERA during that span was 4.81, well above league average. As stated earlier, the correlations are real, but still allow for variance -- and we're seeing that variance. That said, the expectation for Minnesota saves the rest of the season should be tempered. We're about two-thirds the way through the season, don't expect the Twins to amass 14 more saves (Kintzler had 28).

Why is this relevant? Well, other than getting to share some cool research, there were three bids placed on Twins relievers, fishing for saves. Larry Schechter copped the two options most discussed while Patrick Davitt threw a dart at a speculative choice. Larry's ploy makes sense, he's six or so saves from several points in the category and beggars can't be choosers - you need to attack the teams with saves scenarios in flux.

yu darvish

NATIONAL LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS  

PLAYER WINNING BID      
YDarvish, LAD Craig Mish 872 Tristan H. Cockcroft 841 Scott Wilderman 700 Steve Gardner 427
    Todd Zola 424 Brian Walton 170 Andy Behrens 93
    Mike Gianella 13    
JLucroy, Col Tristan H. Cockcroft 839 Steve Gardner 427 Todd Zola 424 Brian Walton 300
    Scott Wilderman 124 Andy Behrens 93 Tristan H. Cockcroft 23
    Phil Hertz 17 Mike Gianella 13 Lenny Melnick 5
AAvila, ChC Steve Gardner 227 Scott Wilderman 63 Tristan H. Cockcroft 25  
BWoodruff, Mil Todd Zola 117 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0    
HKim, Phi Brian Walton 100 Scott Wilderman 64 Todd Zola 17  
RJones, SF Scott Wilderman 65 Todd Zola 17 Lenny Melnick 2  
BKintzler, Was Tristan H. Cockcroft 23 Mike Gianella 6 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0  
LSims, Atl Mike Gianella 13 Todd Zola 17 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0  
JFields, LAD Grey Albright 1      
JWilson, ChC Mike Gianella 0 Mike Gianella 1 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0  
EJackson, Was Mike Gianella 0 Phil Hertz 0 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0  
PSandoval, SF Mike Gianella 0 Todd Zola 17    
MFried, Atl Craig Mish 0      
JPeterson, Atl Craig Mish 0      
LVoit, StL Mike Gianella 0      
DSteckenrider, Mia Phil Hertz 0      
DHernandez, Ari Tristan H. Cockcroft 0      
CKelly, StL Tristan H. Cockcroft 0      

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER        
ACole, Was Todd Zola 43                             
JAlfaro, Phi Brian Walton 40      
ARosales, Ari Todd Zola 37 Scott Wilderman 0    
MLeiter, Phi Todd Zola 13 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0 Phil Hertz 0  
ABanda, Ari Tristan H. Cockcroft 0      
AEllis, Mia Tristan H. Cockcroft 0      
ASusac, Mil Tristan H. Cockcroft 0      
HStrickland, SF Mike Gianella 0      
JTazawa, Mia Mike Gianella 0      
RRivera, NYM Tristan H. Cockcroft 0      
VWorley, Mia Tristan H. Cockcroft 0      

Brian Walton's Commentary

You’d have thought last week was the non-waiver trade deadline or something, what with all the action Sunday night in NL Tout Wars!

The big names drew the big spending with the plum, new Dodgers starting pitcher Yu Darvish, going to the owner with the most FAAB. Craig Mish bid all of his $872 just to be sure he would win, and he did. Though he could have bid at least $8 less and still won, money that could tide him over for the remainder of the season in $1 fill-ins. With zero dollar bidding allowed in Tout, however, Mish is not going to be shut out of future player acquisition entirely.

Next up is new Rockies catcher Jonathan Lucroy, traded last Sunday, but ineligible until this period. With the second-largest remaining kitty, Tristan H. Cockcroft secured the second-best free agent available. Cockcroft efficiently bid exactly $1 more than the owner with the next-most money and now owns the new Rockies backstop for his $839. Sitting in second place, Cockcroft has to hope his new acquisition will help him close the 18-point gap to the top.

Alex Avila received more attention perhaps for being traded away by his Dad, Detroit’s general manager, than for his ability to provide veteran innings for the Cubs behind Willson Contreras. (In an interesting aside, Contreras has logged three home runs and 11 RBI just since Avila was acquired. How’s that for motivation?) Anyway, Avila received a very strong bid from Steve Gardner of $227. The next-closest offer was $63.

Brandon Woodruff of Milwaukee joined Todd Zola’s roster on a winning offer of $117. Todd made a nice acquisition, despite the right-hander only receiving $0 contingency interest from one other owner. Once a top prospect, the right-hander was slowed by injury this season but in his MLB debut, threw 6 1/3 innings of shutout ball at Tampa on Friday.

Todd's Take

The human psyche is a funny thing. There's more of a chance Meghan Markle dumps Prince Harry for me than I had getting Yu Darvish or Jonathan Lucroy. Same with most of the league, but because it's the right thing to do, we all bid. Sure, Derek Carty admitted to forgetting to put in bids a couple weeks ago, but did we really all believe we'd have our bids win? No, but we had to bid anyway. Just part of the job.

brandon woodruff

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

SUCCESSFUL BIDS  

PLAYER WINNING BID      
BWoodruff, Mil Derek Van Riper 57 Fred Zinkie 30 Ron Shandler 18 Bret Sayre 3
JEllsbury, NYY Brent Hershey 51      
CHeadley, NYY Zach Steinhorn 42 Scott Swanay 13 Bret Sayre 1  
JZimmermann, Det Bret Sayre 32 Jeff Zimmerman 10 Scott Engel 2 Fred Zinkie 0
BZiegler, Mia Scott Engel 31 Ray Flowers 31 Derek Van Riper 27 Al Melchior 10
MBelisle, Min Ray Flowers 31 Brent Hershey 24 Al Melchior 10  
LPerdomo, SD Brent Hershey 25      
DFreese, Pit Scott Swanay 24      
JWinker, Cin Fred Zinkie 15 Brent Hershey 22    
RLopez, CWS Jeff Zimmerman 12      
JUrena, Mia Scott Swanay 10 Scott Engel 6    
TWhite, Hou Scott Swanay 7      
KSuzuki, Atl Scott Swanay 5 Al Melchior 0 Fred Zinkie 0  
EJackson, Was Scott Engel 3      
MCanha, Oak Scott Swanay 2      
CVazquez, Bos Fred Zinkie 2      
EEscobar, Min Scott Swanay 0 Gene McCaffrey 0 Scott Engel 4  
SRodriguez, Pit Gene McCaffrey 0 Scott Swanay 1    
ACole, Was Bret Sayre 0 Derek Van Riper 0    
BMaxwell, Oak Al Melchior 0 Bret Sayre 0    
TWood, SD Bret Sayre 0      
AAlmora, ChC Al Melchior 0      
RHanigan, Col Bret Sayre 0      

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER        
BMoss, KC Zach Steinhorn 38                                                    
LSims, Atl Ray Flowers 31      
MMelancon, SF Ray Flowers 31      
JMarisnick, Hou Brent Hershey 23      
ABanda, Ari Brent Hershey 21      
ERamirez, Sea Brent Hershey 21      
ASwarzak, Mil Ray Flowers 7      
SOh, StL Ray Flowers 7      
ALind, Was Scott Swanay 5      
UJimenez, Bal Derek Van Riper 2 Bret Sayre 0    
DSteckenrider, Mia Jeff Zimmerman 1      
JMauer, Min Scott Swanay 1      
YGomes, Cle Scott Swanay 0 Fred Zinkie 0    
AWojciechowski, Cin Bret Sayre 0      
CaJoseph, Bal Fred Zinkie 0      
DDietrich, Mia Gene McCaffrey 0      
JCamargo, Atl Scott Swanay 0      
JCotton, Oak Jeff Zimmerman 0      
JHicks, Det Fred Zinkie 0      
MRojas, Mia Scott Swanay 0      
NHundley, SF Al Melchior 0      
PValaika, Col Gene McCaffrey 0      
TWilliams, Pit Derek Van Riper 0      

Zach Steinhorn's Commentary

Considering the messy state of starting pitching in 2017, all it took was a strong big league debut to make Brandon Woodruff this week's most expensive FAAB purchase, regardless of his mediocre minor league numbers this season (4.46 ERA, 1.35 WHIP in 16 starts). But his overall track record in the Minors is solid, and he sure was impressive on Friday, blanking the Rays across 6 1/3 innings. Let's see if he can further establish himself as a viable mixed league option.

While scanning the waiver wire, it was strange to see Jacoby Ellsbury's name. But then I remembered that he's a fourth outfielder these days and might even fall further down the Yankees depth chart once Aaron Hicks returns, so I decided against bidding on him. Still, Ellsbury has performed reasonably well lately in limited at-bats and could work himself back into a more prominent role, and I could use some steals, so maybe passing on him was a mistake. We will know soon enough, but I do like the pickup at a modest cost of $51.

Very quietly, Chase Headley is batting .341 with two homers, eight RBI, 13 runs scored and a .382 OBP since the All-Star break and continues to play every day. I figured it was worth 42 bucks to find out if this hot stretch can last a little longer.

Todd's Take

It's not surprising my Rotowire podcast partner Derek Van Riper grabbed Woodruff, we've discussed him a few times on the podcast, including this past Friday as a good pickup for the rest of the season. This is one of the reasons I was aggressive in NL Tout. I guess no one from the league listens to the podcast.

Two good starts and Jordan Zimmermann is back in the good fantasy graces. He's tossed seven frames his last two outings, against decent lineups in the Astros and Yankees. He's doing a nice job keeping the ball in the yard, key in this landscape. He also has two starts this week, the first a nice matchup in Pittsburgh with the second at home, against the Twins, another nice setup.

keon broxton

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

SUCCESSFUL BIDS  

PLAYER WINNING BID      
KBroxton, Mil Adam Ronis 183 Corey Parson 18 Perry Van Hook 23 Scott White 0
MEstrada, Tor David Gonos 65 Anthony Perri 33 D.J. Short 35 Ray Murphy 48
    Tim McLeod 19    
TRogers, Min Anthony Perri 45      
RStephenson, Cin David Gonos 35      
JEickhoff, Phi D.J. Short 35 Rudy Gamble 22 Tim McLeod 3  
JParker, SF Perry Van Hook 23      
AGriffin, Tex Perry Van Hook 23      
BWoodruff, Mil Ray Murphy 18 Scott White 1    
TWhite, Hou Corey Parson 14      
NHundley, SF Ray Murphy 8      
DBetances, NYY Perry Van Hook 7      
MOlson, Oak Greg Ambrosius 7      
AHeaney, LAA Greg Ambrosius 1      
MGonzales, Sea Greg Ambrosius 1      
JLeclerc, Tex Scott White 1      
AWojciechowski, Cin Rudy Gamble 1 Greg Ambrosius 1    
DButera, KC Perry Van Hook 0      
JCamargo, Atl Perry Van Hook 0 Corey Parson 5    
JWinker, Cin Scott White 0      

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER        
HKendrick, Was Adam Ronis 23 Perry Van Hook 0                                                  
MBelisle, Min Adam Ronis 23      
DGee, Min David Gonos 17      
CVazquez, Bos Ray Murphy 8 Perry Van Hook 0    
DHolland, CWS Perry Van Hook 4      
MLeiter, Phi Perry Van Hook 4      
ABanda, Ari Greg Ambrosius 1      
CCron, LAA Perry Van Hook 0      
DColeman, SD Perry Van Hook 0      
DNava, Phi Perry Van Hook 0      
JJay, ChC Perry Van Hook 0      
KSmith, CWS Perry Van Hook 0      
MDavidson, CWS Perry Van Hook 0      
NAoki, Tor Perry Van Hook 0      
VWorley, Mia Greg Ambrosius 0      

Perry Van Hook's Commentary

The high bid Sunday night was for newly reinstalled Brewer center fielder Keon Broxton, won by Adam Ronis for $183.

The second highest bid was for Toronto starting pitcher Marco Estrada who had been dropped but found a new home on David Gonos' roster for $65.

I wanted several replacements and had room on my reserve list so with several adequate replacements at catcher and utility, I bid $0 on those positions thus saving units for the OF and SP I thought were the best for my team. With Drew Butera playing full time at least for this week while Salvador Perez is in concussion protocol, he was my first choice to replace Austin Barnes. I needed to find a replacement for the disabled Addison Russell, my utility, and again received my first choice in my $0 queue rostering Atlanta shortstop/third baseman Johan Comargo.

I thought the two best outfielders were Broxton and Jarret Parker and bid $23 on both, winning Parker. Again I had several $0 outfielders in the queue that were playable but without the potential and as many at bats as Parker is likely to get in the coming week.

The pool was somewhat thin for starting pitchers (a previously burned Estrada owner so I wasn't considering him) but I though that A.J. Griffin pitching for the scrappy Texas Rangers visting the Metropolitans at Citi Field was the best choice. If you look at the unawarded bids you will see my two longshot choices who both have two starts this week - if you are brave or desperate enough.

Todd's Take

Perry references streaming pitching. Here's some more research. The benefits of the wins and whiffs of a two-start week usually help more than potential bad ratios hurt. This may be contradictory to my crusade that ratios can move in the standings, but the theory is you aren't always wrong, many streaming choices work so all you're looking to do is break even in ratios over the course of the season, gaining points in wins and strikeouts. Of course, the bottom line is everything depends on where you are in the standings with respect to the associated categories.

 shane greene

HEAD-TO-HEAD MIXED AUCTION

SUCCESSFUL BIDS  

PLAYER WINNING BID      
SGreene, Det Kyle Elfrink 207 Andrea LaMont 27 Vlad Sedler 12 Dr. Roto 11
TBeckham, Bal Kyle Elfrink 123 Dr. Roto 22 Andrea LaMont 1  
AFrazier, Pit Kyle Elfrink 77      
BParker, LAA Kyle Elfrink 54      
KBroxton, Mil Dr. Roto 30      
LCastillo, Cin Vlad Sedler 17      
TAnderson, CWS Dr. Roto 17      
BTreinen, Oak Vlad Sedler 6 Vlad Sedler 12    
JMcCann, Det Dr. Roto 5      
WCastillo, Bal Andrea LaMont 3 Dr. Roto 1    
CGranderson, NYM Andrea LaMont 3      
BZiegler, Mia Dr. Roto 2      
AMiranda, Sea Jake Ciely 1      

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER        
AWojciechowski, Cin Vlad Sedler 1                                                                           
CRupp, Phi Dr. Roto 1      
KSuzuki, Atl Andrea LaMont 1      
SPearce, Tor Andrea LaMont 1      


Todd's Take

This is a big week in the head to head league, with four of the top five teams squaring off with each other as fourth place Peter Kreutzer battles league leader Vlad Sedler while fifth place Howard Bender squares off with Andrea Lamont, seven games behind Vlad. It's not a surprise there was a lot of roster maneuvering among this group, along with third place Kyle Elfrink. With ten points up for grabs each week, Kyle's in a good spot, likely to either gain on the leaders or solidify third, maybe both. Kyle's four acquisitions suggest he's thinking the same thing -- time to make a move.

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