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Wednesday 28th Jun 2017

Pitching is crazy, no? And, I don't think the reason is that hitting has improved, although, believe it or not, the MLB league OBP of .324 is the highest total since 2010.

But, as I have shared on Twitter, this year is the year of Pitcher Russian Roulette: Pick a pitcher, spin a wheel, hold a gun to your head waiting for the results to determine whether to pull the trigger or not.

Certainly this week's column will look at some pitchers, but first there are some position players worth a look for your league, starting with the Braves and Johan Camargo. A 23-year-old, Camargo, a Panamanian, was signed by the Braves in 2010, and has assembled a pretty solid minor league line of .279-12-181 with a .333 OBP (139 BB to 277 K). Camargo is hitting .281-0-10 with the Braves, is playing every day, and in a deeper league could be a nice middle infield play who could qualify at the corners as well before long.

Max Kepler and Byron Buxton get a lot of the ink for the Twins outfield but maybe it is time to take a peek at Eddie Rosario as well. Rosario, who reminds me a lot of the Phillies' Aaron Altherr and Odubel Herrera, has the power/speed skill set and showed his abilities in 2015, when he went .267-13-50 with 11 steals. But the outfielder dropped off to start 2016, forcing a demotion and then a return that proved productive. This year, Rosario is hitting .271-9-23 though his steals are down, and over the past two weeks he's hitting .368-4-8 with a steal.

There is a changing of the guard in Oakland, and we will be covering the team and their interesting moves over the course of the season, and we can start with Bruce Maxwell, the Athletics' second-round pick in 2012. Maxwell hit .267-27-215 with a good .344 OBP (195 BB to 297 K) and has come on strong, hitting .333-0-2 with a swipe this past week as he joins the cluster of fun young Oaklanders.

 Oakland also advanced shortstop Franklin Barreto, the team's 21-year-old shortstop of the future. Barreto has a .291-42-219 line with 81 steals to go with a .345 OBP, and was hitting .281-8-32 at Nashville this year, although with just 17 walks to 92 whiffs. Barreto should get some playing time, eventually owning shortstop, moving Marcus Semien to second, and is a great pickup in deep and keeper contests.

While we are in Oakland, pitcher Daniel Gossett picked up his first win on Saturday versus the White Sox. The second rounder out of Clemson in 2014 now has a 1-2 mark with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.188 WHIP with Oakland, and registered a 19-22, 3.55 mark with 342 whiffs over 383 innings. Oakland, as we have seen, is pretty good at bringing forth arms and I like how Gossett fits in with Sean Manaea and Jharel Cotton.

The Padres' Luis Perdomo had a bit of a rocky season last year, going 9-10, 5.71 over 146.6 frames. Although his 2017 line is better at 2-4, 4.56, over his past three starts, the right-hander seems to have gotten it together, going 2-1, 2.41 over 18.6 innings with 14 strikeouts. In a deeper league, Perdomo makes for an interesting potential play. 

Houston has advanced two top pitching prospects, first with David Paulino, and now with Francis Martes. A 21-year-old Dominican, Martes is 23-17, 3.18 with 343 strikeouts over 353.6 frames in the Minors. Martes is a hard thrower who will have some issues--he is 2-0, 5.51 thus far this year--but has some serious upside and is a good future gamble in just about any kind of league. As for now, well, look further.

The feel good story in baseball this year has to be Austin Bibens-Dirkx, the Rangers' 32-year-old rookie who has logged 1040 minor league innings, going 61-52, 4.04 with 855 whiffs and a 1.25 WHIP. The righty is 3-0, 3.68 over 36.3 innings with 21 whiffs and a 1.01 WHIP, allowing just a .207 average. It is truly hard to recommend pitchers these days when there does indeed seem to be a gun to our heads, but Bibens-Dirkx is the kind of guy who can sneak through the rest of the season with some decent numbers. Just don't be surprised if there is a meltdown.

Follow me @lawrmichaels.



What a crazy Father's Day we had, getting up early to watch our niece Lindsay graduate from UC Davis, then beating it back to the Bay Area and San Francisco where Diane and I hit a 3:00 PM flight to NYC where tonight I draft in the FSTA Expert Football "B League."

I have to say it was a haul, driving up back and forth, rushing to catch our plane, which spent an untimely six hours in the air, allowing us to plop down on our hotel bed around 2:30 AM. Hence, the delay in getting today's Hotpage posted.

But, here we are with a fun week ahead. In fact, I will review my draft next Saturday on Bed Goes Up.

As for now, we have baseball and we can start with Matt Chapman, the new Athletics third sacker. I distinctly remember at Spring Training in 2015, Ron Washington told me "Chapman is the future at third." Well, the future is indeed here and Chapman is the man. having banged out 80 homers while driving in 203 since being a first-round pick in 2014. The A's have some fun stuff going on among Chapman, Chad Pinder, Franklin Barreto, Ryon Healy and Marcus Semien when he returns. Watch them.

In the meantime, the Athletics turned former third sacker Trevor Plouffe into a player to be named later, sending him off to Tampa where the best guess is Plouffe spells Evan Longoria while platooning at first against lefties, against whom Plouffe is hitting .294.

Trey Mancini was hot to start the season, but the return of Chris Davis pushed the Orioles utilityman to the back burner, but with the Davis injury, Mancini is again shining. He has hit .354-5-14 over the past couple of weeks, and surely has made a case for full-time consideration having a season line of .310-12-28. Mancini is exactly the kind of guy I would think about for 2018 as a potential bargain, by the way.

The Mets are certainly as broken up as any DL'd team this year, but a couple of bright spots are the opportunites given to Wilmer Flores, and now T.J. Rivera. Rivera has indeed been hot, hitting .400-1-4 over the past couple of cycles, banging ten hits over 25 at-bats, bringing his season line to .289-2-14 and even posting a .338 OBP, which these days is pretty good.

Since I am in New York, let's look at one other Metropolitan in Gavin Cecchini, a first-round prep pick of the Mets in 2012. Cecchini has been pretty solid as a minor leaguer, hitting .282-27-215 with 27 swipes and a solid .348 OBP. Cecchini has 201 walks to 303 whiffs, and the 23-year-old and Flores are likely the future middle at Citi Field.

The Rangers have been having major bullpen issues, as have so many teams this year, and the team's latest call-up, Ernesto Frieri, at least has a closer track record with 73 career saves. Frieri struggled the last few years, even relegating himself to Mexico for a bit last year, but he was 2-0, 2.86 with seven saves over 20.3 innings, and could be the next in line for conversions.

If you are just looking for a reliever to fill a hole in a mixed format, a nice conservative choice is the Bucs' Felipe Rivero. Rivero has thrown 37.3 innings and leads the circuit in appearances with 36, while whiffing 41 and posting three saves. Oh yeah, his ERA is 0.72, which is also Rivero's WHIP, meaning the hurler probably won't hurt you much no matter what happens, and he could help with some whiffs and wins and maybe even a couple of conversions.

Finally, the Padres' Dinelson Lamet had a good start, whiffing 12 Brewers over six innings on Saturday. With a line of 2-2, 7.50, I cannot really recommend Lamet, but the 24-year-old is certainly worth tracking. In fact, his 1.33 WHIP is pretty good considering Lamet's other numbers.

Bewitch, bother, or bewilder me @lawrmichaels.



It seems fitting that going into the week of the 2017 June draft that prospects and top picks dominate the Hotpage this week.

A first-round pick of the Mariners in 2013, we all had hopes for Mike Zunino, who was actually a pretty good on-base hitter with a .368 minor league OBP. But in the bigs, he could not catch up with the fastball and the results have been a .197 average and .268 OBP. Granted catchers' hitting generally does develop later as working the zone with pitchers is the primary function of backstops. Zunino is only hitting .218-4-17 for the year, but over the past couple of weeks he has produced .389-3-18 numbers. Yes, it is premature to think Zunino has found his stroke, but he is first worth tracking, and second, could indeed be picking it up.

I have long been a fan of Cory Spangenberg, a first rounder of the Padres in 2011. Spangenberg had a solid debut when he arrived at Petco in 2014, hitting .290-2-9 over 20 games, then .271-4-21 with nine steals the following year over 303 at-bats. Then Spangenberg got hurt, and was in and out of a lineup going through Petco changes, playing sporadically, and not that well. With the power potential of Ryan Schimpf, Spangenberg seemed back burner news, but Schimpf, who hit with power, but little else, was sent down this past week while Spangenberg has been smoking. Spangenberg is hitting .500-2-4 this past week, with the big blows coming Sunday, and ideally some full-time play ahead.

Lewis Brinson is yet another first rounder, this time in 2012 by the Rangers, though the Rangers swapped the outfielder off as part of the Jonathan Lucroy deal of last year. Brinson has posted a .283-82-299 mark with 92 swipes over 514 minor league games. At Colorado Springs this year, Brinson was hitting .312-6-25 when summoned, and what is worthy of note is that over 2012-13, Brinson whiffed 265 times while walking just 69. Since then, the numbers are 326 strikeouts to 120 walks, significantly improved. Brinson might not work his way immediately into full-time play, but it lies ahead.

While we are working with the Brewers, the team brought up top prospect Josh Hader, a lefty hard-thrower who was selected in the 19th round in 2011 by the Orioles, who then swapped Hader to the Astros as part of the Bud Norris trade. Houston then swapped Hader to the Brewers as part of the Carlos Gomez deal. Hader, who will initially be working out of the pen, has dominant stuff, with 610 strikeouts over 541.3 innings, averaging 10.1 per nine. Hader has had his struggles this year (3-4, 5.47), but in reality, there is very little more he can learn in the Minors. If brought along concertedly with the Brewers, Hader has the potential to be an ace. 

The Tigers selected Buck Farmer in the fifth round in 2013, and 24 of his 32 appearances going into this year were in relief. But Farmer has been pretty much exclusively a starter in the Minors, with a 26-21, 3.65 mark over 402.3 innings with 387 whiffs. Farmer has been lights out this past week with two wins on a pair of starts to go with a 0.00 ERA over 13 innings with 16 punchouts.

In addition to Farmer, however, several interesting hurlers were advanced during the past week, starting with Jacob Faria, a tenth-round selection of the Rays in 2011. The 23-year-old has posted stellar minor league totals--41-32, 3.13, over 599 innings with 626 strikeouts--including a 6-1, 3.03 mark at Durham this year that includes 84 whiffs over 58.6 innings. Faria had a great start and win Wednesday, and was sent down the next day. Since Faria was up in place of Matt Andriese, and since Andriese's future is probably the DL, it is reasonable to anticipate Faria's return, soon. 

Struggling San Francisco promoted eighth-round pick in 2014, Austin Slater out of Stanford, to help fill their struggling, ailing defense. Slater has a nice minor league line of .308-27-165 over 300 games, with 24 swipes and a .371 OBP (106 walks to 238 whiffs). Slater has come out of the blocks hot, hitting .322-4-26 his first week, and since the Giants really are going nowhere, he should get a chance to show what he can do. I like the outfielder to be a sort of Mark Kotsay kind of player: one who does not do anything spectacularly, but everything very well. That is pretty good.

Finally, the Pirates ran out of patience and options with infielder Alen Hanson, designating him with the White Sox picking up the infielder. A switch-hitter, still just 24 years old, Hanson has had a fine minor league career, hitting .281-53-316 with 205 steals over 719 games. With decent on-base numbers (240 walks to 531 strikeouts, a .340 OBP), Hanson just cannot do it in the Majors, hitting just .193-0-1 over 93 at-bats. The move should be good for Hanson, whom if he gets a shot to play regularly, could indeed be a player.

Don't forget to tune into The Tout Wars Hour every Thursday night on the FNTSY Sports Radio Network, where Justin Mason and I try to break down fantasy into strategies and tactics we can all understand and employ. That is Thursday nights, from 8-10 PM, Eastern Time.

You can give me grief @lawrmichaels.

In the Bay Area, the San Francisco Giants were famous for starting the season hot through April and May, but come the summer months, the team fell into a "June swoon" it seemed every year.

We did pass the first big milestone of the season with Memorial Day, and if your team is indeed swooning with the coming of the hot weather, maybe we can help with some suggestions for your roster.

I cannot really recommend Alcides Escobar and his .183-0-12 line, but the KC shortstop's career mean over 10 years is .258-4-50 with 22 steals. That means if Escobar just finishes the season hitting .250, and hits the rest of those decade-long means, he will hit .285-4-30 with 22 steals, which might be lofty, but getting close is certainly not impossible with 100 games left. The Royals continue to push Escobar to the top of the order, and he does have nine hits over his last six games, so do keep an eye on him.

The Nats drafted Brian Goodwin in the first round of the 2011 draft, but the outfielder has pretty much languished since, posting a .253-52-249 line, making a brief (22 games: .286-0-5) visit to the Show last year. Injuries forced the hand of the team and Goodwin returned, having a big game Friday when he singled twice, tripled, and homered off the Athletics to give him a season line of .303-1-5 over 15 games and 33 at-bats. Goodwin might not stay on as a starter, but he could get 10 or so at-bats a week as a #4 guy in Washington and be of help in an NL-only format.

With both Cameron Maybin and Mike Trout on the DL, the Angels hit some desperate straits, but 32-year-old Eric Young, Jr. climbed aboard with a hot start, hitting .348-1-2 with a pair of swipes over his first week back in The Show. He's for sure a solid grab in an AL format (and if his hot bat continues, every format).

The Angels also sought help from pitcher Parker Bridwell, a ninth-round pick of the Orioles in 2010. That means 687.6 minor league innings with a pedestrian 33-46, 4.70 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP. Bridwell did whiff 623, so it appears control is a lot of the issue and the O's did give Bridwell a look (3.3 innings, five hits and five runs). Don't bite.

Another rookie hurler you might have noticed is Eric Skoglund, the Royals third-round selection in 2014. Skoglund comported himself well following a stint at Central Florida, going 15-18, 3.74, moving up through the Minors and arriving at Kauffman last week. Skoglund did well enough in his first start with 6.3 shutout innings and a win over the Tigers, but things were different in his second outing as Cleveland pounded the rookie for four runs over a pair of innings. Skoglund whiffed 266 over 310.6 minor league innings, meaning he is not a dominant starter, so probably best to shy away. Maybe Skoglund becomes a decent fourth starter, but not much more.

I have to admit I was one of those who thought veteran Yankee Brett Gardner was on the downhill slide, but over May, Gardner has seriously lit it up, contributing with a .327-9-21 line. So, Gardner has hardly had it.

One pitcher I do like is Silvino Bracho, a 23-year-old Venezuelan who collected 283 whiffs over just 198.6 minor league innings. Bracho has been up and down this year, struggling in the Majors (0-2, 6.18 over 39.3 innings) but has been so dominant in the Minors (2-1, 1.64 with four saves) that something has to give. Bracho, who has 90 minor league conversions and if he gets the hang, only Fernando Rodney seems to be in his way.

Finally, back to the Bay Area, the decimated Giants promoted 25-year-old Dominican Orlando Calixte, who has produced a somewhat dubious minor league line of .249-63-274 over 719 minor league games, with a .304 OBP. Calixte had a nice first game in the Majors, with a couple of hits and RBI, but Calixte is just filler. Young Jr. is the guy to go for should you need some outfield production.

Don't forget to tune into The Tout Wars Hour on the FNTSY Sports Radio Network every Thursday night from 8-10 PM, Eastern Time. Justin Mason and I talk with the writers and analysts you follow the most, trying to unravel the real strategies that live underneath all fantasy games. This week, Rotowire's Vlad Sedler and FNTSY's Pat Mayo will be our guests, discussing NFBC, DFS, and previewing the US Open.

And, you can always harrangue me all you like @lawrmichaels.

First and foremost, the happiest and safest of Memorial Day holidays to all of you and your families. Of course, it is easy to be able to enjoy ourselves in a world where Scott Kazmir, still a functioning lefty, goes to the 60-day DL, and Kyle Blanks is released.

As for your roto teams, this is indeed the time to take stock of your team, if you have a realistic shot at winning, and what you can do to make that happen. So, as usual, the Hotpage is here to help you stay ahead of the curve, and we will start locally this time with Athletics second sacker Jed Lowrie.

The keystone guy, Lowrie was .500-0-4 over the past week, with four doubles, notching his season totals to .303-6-16 with 29 runs scored, and is signed through this season, though with a 2018 option. However, with Franklin Barreto, Chad Pinder and Matt Chapman on the horizon, and Marcus Semien and Ryon Healy already producing, Lowrie becomes an obvious trade chip to a contending team.

I wanted Hunter Renfroe, of whom I have more than a few shares, and who was largely disappointing as he was adjusting to full-time play over the course of an entire season in the big leagues, but he has finally started to push his numbers north of the Mendoza line. With a .429-1-2 week, Renfroe raised his season line to .231-9-20 and his OBP up to an almost respectable .286. Keep it going, Hunter.

Similarly, if you have been waiting for the explosive Carlos Gonzalez, alas, he has finally got some heat in his bat with a .303-2-10 month, pushing his season totals to .244-4-16. A good month ago, a friend actually sent me a note asking if he should acquire Cargo, who had been dropped by his frustrated owner, and I simply responded "absolutely," noting that Gonzalez is a potential impact player. Even if you don't need him, pulling Gonzalez out of the free agent pool and preventing other owners from having him is in and of itself a great move.

If you want to watch for the emergence of the next dominant pitcher in baseball, try Diamondbacks starter Robbie Ray, who over the past two weeks has gone 2-0, 1.93 over 18.6 innings with 17 whiffs and a stunning 0.857 WHIP, giving Ray a 4-3, 3.45 over 60 innings, with 74 whiffs, and most importantly, a 1.20 WHIP. Including this season, Ray has a career WHIP of 1.413, so if Ray indeed has gained that final command, look out for him, and try to own him wherever you can.

Let's check out a couple of Beantown players next, starting with a hitter I like in first sacker Sam Travis, who looked like the first base heir apparent in 2015, following his .307-9-78 year, with 32 doubles, split between High-A and Double-A. But, after a hot start (.272-6-29) at Pawtucket last year, Travis blew out his knee and missed the bulk of 2016, waylaying progress. But, after a .286-4-14 start at Triple-A, he has arrived and will be the ultimate answer to first base.

Travis' teammate, pitcher Brian Johnson, stunned the universe on Saturday, shutting out Seattle on five hits, tossing a complete game on the same day that Chase Anderson struggled to keep his pitch count under 120 trying to no-hit Arizona. Johnson, a first-round pick in 2012, has a 2-0, 2.57 mark with Boston, augmented by 2-0, 2.87 at Pawtucket. Johnson lost the numbers game to the activation of David Price. That is cool: grab him and stash him, for it is certain the Sox will need him again this year.

The Braves advanced former Padres top pick Matt Wisler, and while it is very difficult for me to recommend a hurler with a career big league 15-21, 4.95 line, I have long liked Wisler and his control. As a minor leaguer, Wisler has a line of 31-23, 3.65 over 524.6 frames with a 1.20 WHIP to go with 474 whiffs. The Braves are indeed working through the struggles to get to the next step, and Wisler could rise to the occasion and become a solid #3 starter. While I am not suggesting you grab him now, I am saying keep an eye on the guy. I think he is better than his numbers suggest.

Finally, Leury Garcia, the 26-year-old outfielder of the Pale Hose, is seriously worth taking a look at in every format. That is because Garcia has grabbed a starting gig, posting .276-6-17 totals with four steals, with 22 runs scored. Garcia has a .273-22-210 line with 322 runs and 204 swipes over 657 minor league games. He might really just be a fourth outfielder, but he is playing like a #3 this year, so in your deep league, don't let Garcia sit in the FA pool.

Make sure you check out my radio show on FNTSY every Thursday night, from 8-10 PM, ET. This week my special guest will be Ron Shandler, Tout Wars and BBHQ founder.

And, feel free to bug, cajole, harangue, or simply praise me @lawrmichaels.

The week before Memorial Day is always a fun one, and we all speculate summer travels and changes with graduations and weddings; something we are part of with a couple each of trips, graduations, and weddings on the horizon.

It does mean the warm weather is here, something Mother Nature has largely complied aside from dropping indiscriminate dumps of rain hither and yon. For now, there are a bunch of names, some new, some old, and some not worth bothering about for us to ponder. And, if you like what you read here, join my running mate Justin Mason from Friends With Fantasy Benefits and me every Thursday evening from 8-10 PM, ET for the Tout Wars Hour where we talk strategy and a lot of other good stuff with the analysts and writers you follow the most. This week our guests will be MLB.com's Fred Zinkie and BBHQ relief specialist Doug Dennis.

I noted in the Tout Wars FAAB report last week that I liked the acquisiton of Chad Pinder for a couple of bucks by current league leader Clay Link. For, on a team with some interesting players, interesting possibilities, and a GM happy to give a solid kid a shot, Pinder is indeed making himself known, hitting .267-4-9, hitting one of his bombs this weekend over the pavilion in center, a feat duplicated only four times. A former #2 pick (2013), Pinder plays both short and second, and can indeed double in the outfield as well. With the Athletics limping through with Jed Lowrie and Adam Rosales--both of whom I like, neither of whom is a long-term anything--Pinder should get a fair shake of time to show what he can do. 

While we are at it, Jose Berrios, following his ridiculous 7.6 inning two-hitter with 11 whiffs, is now totally worth activating in any format. He may struggle, but he is here to stay, so if you drafted or reserved Berrios, or maybe picked him up years ago in your Ultra League, and have been waiting, activate him now. Again, he may struggle, but he will never again qualify as a rookie, so any benefits your league constitution affords go for it. Or, trade him. His value might get higher, but it is pretty high right now. Just don't sit on him.

And, I have to wonder about Cleveland, who advanced Bradley Zimmer over Tyler Naquin (.396-1-5 at Columbus) but that they did, and Zimmer looks like he could be interesting. A first-round pick of the Tribe in 2013, the California native had a nice .270-42-171 line in the Minors over 338 games, with a strong .372 OBP (167 walks to 378 strikeouts), and has begun his big league career well enough with a .267-1-3 with a steal this past week, and is a sure pickup in deep leagues, if still available.

The Angels signed Doug Fister. Nothing against Doug Fister, but this time last year they signed Tim Lincecum. How did that work out? Acquire accordingly.

In the same vein, the Braves signed James Loney, and then swapped for Matt Adams hoping to plug the horrible Freddie Freeman void. It appears Adams will get frst shot at everyday at-bats. If your objective is to try and stop the bleeding the loss of Freeman presents, try to figure out something else. Freeman was the best player on an up-and-coming team: he is the kind of player who simply makes the other players around him better. Neither Adams nor Loney is that guy, as the good pitches the players around Freeman saw will dissipate, and Loney/Adams will have to face the music without any more protection than anyone else on the team.

If you are lamenting the struggles of Julio Urias, think about Jose Berrios. Yeah, Urias adjusted more quickly at first, but now the Dodger hurler is not so much of a secret, and for now the team has a strong rotation of Clayton Kershaw, Brandon McCarthy, Alex Wood, Rich Hill, and Hyun-Jin Ryu. Surely one of those guys will hit the DL, probably before the break, so Urias will be back and he should be pretty good.

I have been biting it up the middle this year it seems, and in shallower leagues Neil Walker is hitting .364-2-12 over the past two weeks, raising his season totals to .255-4-24. Walker is pretty steady, and is a good pickup right now.

If you are in an NL-only format, give Eric Sogard, now of the Brewers, a look. Sogard is back after a year off with a nasty knee injury, and while Jonathan Villar is struggling, Sogard is hitting .476-2-7 his first week. Sogard is now 30, and a total pro, and that means he knows how to do his job. And that could well mean some long-term steady play. All he needs is the chance. Here it is.

Track me down @lawrmichaels.

Midway into the month of May, on the heels of Mother's Day, a new slew of prospects, all highly thought of, a couple who have already had a stab at the Show, make their way back to the Majors with the first wave of hopeful promotions.

Probably the most interesting at this juncture is another in the long line of Cubs youngin's with the mega talent, Ian Happ. Theo Epstein's first round selection in 2015, Happ went .259-9-33 with ten steals after being drafted, then kicked through High-A (.296-7-42) Carolina, then Double-A Tennessee (.262-8-31), earning a ticket to Triple-A Iowa to begin this season. After hitting .298-9-25 over 26 games, the big club decided Happ was ready, and here he is. Happ came up as a second sacker, but has played the outfield thus far in Chicago. He is likely here to stay.

Minnesota's 2012 Compensation pick, Jose Berrios, made his debut with the Twins in 2016, and started 14 games, winning three, but otherwise posting a horrific seven losses, 8.02 ERA and 1.97 WHIP over 58.3 innings. This suggests that the soon-to-be 23-year-old wasn't ready, but considering his 3-0, 1.13 numbers at Triple-A Rochester, maybe he is now. The solid 7.6 innings tossed with just one walk and two hits for a team that is having some nice pitching says maybe Berrios is indeed safe now.

Eddie Butler was also a 2012 Compensation pick, but for the Rockies where he went 6-16, 6.50 over 159.6 lousy innings, so the frustrated Coloradans swapped Butler to the Cubs (how rich can they get?) for James Farris in February. The right-hander only won one game at Iowa, but over five starts and 30.6 innings, Butler scored a 1.17 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP with 17 strikeouts, then winning his first start at Wrigley. 

The Athletics signed hurler Michael Ynoa in 2008 as a free agent, for whom the tall (6'7") Dominican toiled until Hot Stove 2014, when they swapped Ynoa along with Jeff Samardzija for Chris Bassitt, Josh Phegley and Marcus Semien. With the swap, Ynoa moved exclusively to relief. And, though he earned no saves in the Minors, over 226.6 minor league innings, Ynoa has whiffed 232. In the bigs, he has 46.3 frames with 43 whiffs, a pair of wins, and could be good to fill a deep-league hole: some whiffs, some innings, perhaps a win, little potential damage.

The Angels activated Luis Valbuena, who should get a chunk of playing time spelling the rest of the lineup at first, third, and DH. Valbuena, still just 31, has some pretty good pop with a homer every 30 at-bats and 85 total over his career. In fact, Valbuena banged 25 for the Astros in 2015 and is likely available in most free agent pools.

Giants new third sacker Christian Arroyo was the team's first-round selection in 2013 and over 359 games since being selected, he hit .300-23-204. Though he posted a solid .343 OBP, Arroyo walked just 92 times to 238 punchouts. But, Arroyo has played well enough since being called up to push Eduardo Nunez into a utility role.

Another NL third sacker worth checking out is the Mets' T.J. Rivera, a 28-year-old originally signed by the Metropolitans in 2011 who has hit .324-36-348 with a .370 OBP over seven minor league seasons and 630 games. Rivera is one pleasant and stable surprise for the team, and is hitting at a .299-1-8 clip over 22 games. Again, in a deep league, such numbers make a valuable contribution.

Welington Castillo may be due back, but Caleb Joseph is red-hot, and in a deep league makes a great second backstop at this point. Joseph hit .440-1-5 over the past week over 22 at-bats, raising his season numbers to .284-2-9. If he keeps hitting, he will keep seeing pitches.

Make sure you tune into The Tout Wars Hour every Thursday night on the FNTSY Network from 8-10 PM, Eastern where Justin Mason and I talk to the top writers, analysts, and fantasy players discussing players, formats, games, sports, and strategies.

And, of course, you can follow me @lawrmichaels.

Summer is upon us, and bats--well some--are indeed heating up, while arms are here to replace. So, let's see just who needs attention in your league this coming week, as we try to navigate through the first third of the season.

The Tigers have been plagued with injuries (haven't we all) and Jim Adduci, seemingly a name from the past, has stepped in to fill part of the void. At age 31, Adduci last played in the Majors in 2014, having played in the Latin leagues in the interim. Maybe we will think of him as Eric Thames light, but for the price, he might be better, having dropped a .381-0-7 line with a .919 OPS, seven runs scored, and a swipe over 11 games. He keeps that up and he will get to play.

I have always had a soft spot in my heart for Yonder Alonso for some reason, and this year is no different save he is sticking. It is weird, though for over his career of 692 games, Alonso has 47 homers, with nine of them this year. Four, or nearly 10%, have come in the last week, over which the first sacker has hit .421 with eight RBI and a solid hold on first base at Rickey Henderson Field.

There is speculation around who gets to join the lean Twins rotation, and of course there is speculation surrounding Jose Berrios, but keep an eye on Tyler Duffey. Yeah, Duffey struggled last year, going 9-12, 6.43, but thus far his 13 whiffs over 14.3 innings, 1.88 ERA and 1.18 WHIP suggest some lessons learned for the 26-year-old.

Similarly, the Mets are struggling now with both Matt Harvey suspended and Noah Syndergaard ailing, and they promoted Tommy Milone to fill one spot. A journeyman of the highest order, Milone is a nibbler who has to keep the ball down, and can indeed have some success when he keeps hitters guessing. And, that usually lasts for one or two starts, and then Milone becomes canon fodder. Tread carefully: be prepared to dump aggressively.

Sandy Leon, who banged a couple of homers Sunday, has been the main backstop in Beantown this year, but Christian Vazquez has been a pretty good back-up. If you are in a deeper league, and say need to replace Josh Phegley, Vazquez, hitting .333-0-4 over 47 plate appearances, is a great path to try.

Devon Travis has hit a relatively solid .220-1-2 over the past ten days, raising his totals to .156-1-4. That tells you both how poorly Travis was hitting, and that maybe he is shaking off the shackles of the slump that has plagued him thus far. I like Travis and think he will indeed bust out, so watch and try to take advantage.

Similarly, Kole Calhoun has a season mark of .248-4-11, but over the past week he has hit .250-3-5, meaning the bulk of production this year was over the past seven days, and that too suggests a potential breakout. If Calhoun is languishing (he shouldn't be) jump on him, and with their struggles, both Calhoun and Travis are worth exploring as DFS plays whose value has dropped.

Finally, if you are an Eric Thames devotee, think about selling high. Following his self-imposed exile to the Far East, Thames came out of the blocks red-hot, hitting .345 with 11 homers and 19 RBI. But over the past two weeks, those totals have dropped thanks to a .222 average with three of those homers and six of the RBI. Before he left, Thames was no Cecil Fielder, so no reason to think he will be upon coming back.

Don't forget to tune into "The Tout Wars Hour" every Thursday night, from 8-10 PM, ET, on the FNTSY Sports Network, when Justin Mason and I talk strategy and then have guests and regular features that look at more strategy, along with players, prospects, and a lot of other stuff. Click here to stream for free, and download the app to track on your smart phone.

Remember, you can nag, respond, agree, et al @lawrmichaels.

Into May, and maybe even some real summer weather we go for the 2017 season. I can tell you as a resident of Northern California, an area mired in a drought for five years, we have had record rainfall this year, so the sun is more than welcome.

So, as the weather warms up, what players might we track over the coming week? Well, we will look below, but don't forget to join Justin Mason and me this and every Thursday at the FNTSY network from 6-7 PM ET for the Tout Wars Hour. We will be having the best known writers and analysts who play in the toughest leagues on the planet each week, covering fantasy of every kind, everywhere. You can stream on your laptop for free and via the FNTSY app

It is hard to "recommend" a guy hitting .176 with just a couple of homers, but with C.J. Cron hurt, and Albert Pujols struggling (.240 with a .278 OBP), Jefry Marte is likely to get some serious playing time. As a 23-year-old in 2015, Marte hit .271-15-69 over 106 Triple-A games with 38 walks to 70 whiffs, so the first sacker can do it. In a deep league, those at-bats mean everything. 

We can hang in the AL West, where Leonys Martin was designated, opening potential playing time for 24-year-old Ben Gamel. Drafted by the Yankees in the tenth round of the 2010 June Draft, then swapped to Seattle last August, Gamel has a .288-27-319 line with 95 swipes over 688 games with a .347 OBP (239 BB/525 K). The left-handed hitter should see some time hitting right-handers.

Finishing in the AL West, Jesse Hahn has been a work in progress for several years now, tempting with some solid numbers from 2014-15. But in limited time last year, he went 2-4, 6.02. This season has been a dufferent story. Filling in the injury gaps at Rickey Henderson Field, Hahn is 1-1, 2.08 over 26 innings with 29 whiffs and a solid 0.962 WHIP. He's worth a look in any format.

I cannot let the week escape without noting the debut of the wonderfully named Gift Ngoepe passing us by. As we know, Ngoepe is the first Major League player born on the African Continent. Though the story is fun, and Ngoepe has bagged hits four of his first eight at-bats, the guy has a minor league career line of .232-37-201 and a .322 OBP, so the good story may be short-lived. Still, yay for baseball touching yet another place on the earth.

Since the White Sox are in transition, there has been a lot of speculation regarding the disposition of Todd Frazier, who becomes a free agent at the end of this season. It does seem the Pale Hose might indeed move Frazier, and a lot of the reason might be that Matt Davidson could be ready to pick up the hot corner gauntlet. Davidson is hitting .286-4-14 over 46 at-bats this year and is a good gamble as a corner guy in a deeper AL or Mixed format.

The Jays let go of Jarrod Saltalamacchia and brought up backstop Luke Maile, who has a .255-19-169 line over 1457 at-bats with 159 walks to 260 strikeouts, good for a .333 OBP. Maile is not much of an option at this point, however, save for the deepest of leagues.

Michael Taylor might be struggling with a .192-0-1 line over 28 at-bats, but with Adam Eaton out for the rest of the season, Taylor is the beneficiary of that now open playing time. He does strike out (263 to 53 walks) but he also has some pop with 22 homers and speed with 30 steals over 758 at-bats. 

You can follow me @lawrmichaels.

I don't know about you, but I like to draft teams where I have as many solid everyday guys at as many positions as possible. Of course we all want starters and production up and down our squads but I tend to play in very deep leagues, and mostly auctions, so it is standard to need the services of Josh Phegley and Michael Tonkin.

In fact, at present six of my LABR guys and five on my Tout squad are indeed on the DL, so I am actively playing the FAAB game where the player pool is lean. Still, there are always those guys hanging out there who can help, so let's peek at a few.

It has taken Robbie Grossman a bit to get the hang in the Majors, but he managed a .379 OBP, 131 steals, and 519 runs over 763 minor league games. And, it has taken a few teams, but Grossman has settled in with the Twins and is among the Major League Leaders in OBP with a .460 supported by a .306-1-8, and is owned on just 6.8% of ESPN teams.

Oakland's Jaff Decker was drafted in the first round of the 2008 June fete by the Padres, and now on his fourth team, Decker might well have finally settled in to take advantage of those same skills that made him a top selection. With Rajai Davis hurting, and the Oakland outfield interesting, but spotty at best, Decker has stepped up, playing all three outfield slots while hitting .273-0-1 with a steal and a .407 OBP.

Across the bay, in San Francisco, Jarrett Parker is out for a chunk of time, and with Mac Williamson going to rehab, he becomes a good gamble to fill in while Parker rehabs his broken clavicle. Williamson hit .286-61-247 over 372 minor league games and did belt seven homers with the big club over limited playing time the last couple of years.

One more outfielder on the outskirts who could be of some help is the Reds' Scott Schebler. The former Dodger turned in solid bench totals last year, hitting .265-0-40 over 82 games, and has banged four big flies this year, playing yo-yo between the Reds and the Minors. Expect Schebler to stick with the Reds despite the early struggles and contribute accordingly, and that means value in a deeper league.

Chris Devenski has a win, a save, a 1.35 ERA, a 0.60 WHIP, and 25 whiffs over 13.3 innings. No matter what league or format you are in, this guy needs a look. If you doubt me, look at his 2016 numbers.

In Los Angeles, Cam Bedrosian is on the DL, while aging Huston Street is maybe coming off. Enter Blake Parker, who saved a game for the Yankees last year and has pitched well out of the pen this season, with 12 whiffs over 8.3 innings, a hold, a loss, a 3.24 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He is worth a FAAB gamble.

With the demotion of Raul Mondesi, Jr., Whit Merrifield was brought back and has a solid chance to hang onto the starting second base gig for the rest of the season. Merrifield hit a solid .283-2-29 with eight swipes last year, and came back to hit .263-1-2 thus far over five games since his return. I like this guy, especially in AL-only formats. 

Finally, last year the Jays' Darwin Barney played a solid fill-in role, and now with Toronto scrapping, and Troy Tulowitzki and Josh Donaldson out, Barney should get a nice run of playing time. Barney hit .269-4-19 last year with 35 runs, and played second, third, short, and the outfield, making him a versatile roster member, again likely in a deep league, but still of value.

Don't forget you can hit me up @lawrmichaels.

Though the standings and the stats are still on the volatile side, things are settling into a bit of a groove for the 2017 season, and for sure, the injuries and the ineffectiveness issues are still first and foremost in the eyes of the Roto Owner. So, after Easter Eggs, and likely an Easter ham to go with Sunday Night baseball, what is now on the horizon as we start to move into the groove of the baseball grind?

Well, a cluster of newbies appeared this week, including perhaps the first of the big name prospects of 2017 in the form of Jesse Winker. A 2012 Type-A Compensation selection of the Reds, Winker scored #71 on last year's Top 250 coming off a .282-13-55 season at Pensacola, and this year logged in at #147 following his .303-3-45 Triple-A 2016 campaign over 104 games. Winker has a career minor league OBP of .399 with 298 walks to 343 strikeouts coupled with 531 hits and is a guy you want to own in Ultra Leagues.

The Pinstripes fourth-round selection in 2014, Jordan Montgomery went a combined 14-5, 2.13 with 134 whiffs over 139.6 innings last year, good enough to score #121 on my prospect list. As a minor leaguer, Montgomery went 25-14, 2.57 over 297.6 innings with 293 whiffs, and his first Yankee Stadium start was good for 4.6 innings with seven strikeouts. He should be good for another start, meaning for now in an AL-only format, Montgomery is worth a shot.

The Twins have been a bit surprising to start the season, and shortstop Jorge Polanco is one of the pleasant parts of that surprise. Polanco actually grabbed the starting job last year, hitting .282-4-27 over 69 games, and has started 2017 strong, hitting .302-1-5 thus far. Polanco has some speed (60 swipes in the Minors) and decent on-base totals (.346) that have maintained with the promotion to the Show (.341). Finally, Polanco is playing every day, and at-bats are the name of the game.

Last year, I thought enough of the Rockies' Antonio Senzatela to rank him #31 on the 2016 Top 250 based upon his 9-9, 2.51 season with 143 strikeouts over 154 innings. 2016 included three trips to the DL but Senzatela still went 4-1, 1.82 over seven starts and 43.3 innings. Senzatela has made three Colorado starts thus far, going 2-0, 2.37 after besting the Giants on Sunday. With Jon Gray and Kyle Freeland, maybe this is a new day for Rockies pitchers?

Anyone been waiting for the now 28-year-old former first-rounder from Stanford, Jason Castro, to hit? Well, at Target, as a real vet, maybe the time has come with Castro hitting a modest .261, with a homer and seven RBI. That makes him worth a look in your AL-only format.

Scrounging for saves? So are the Rangers, who have to let go of Sam Dyson following his latest meltdown Sunday. Maybe the real answer is with Jose Leclerc, who bagged 23 saves in 34 tries in the Minors while placing a 21-22, 3.64 over 366.1 innings. Within those totals live 25 starts along with a fine 400 punchouts, and thus far Leclerc has a save in Arlington, something Dyson has not managed.

With Zach Britton hurt, and potentially down for awhile, look to longtime minor league closer Brad Brach to get the first shot at Baltimore saves. Over six minor league seasons, Brach went 21-16, 2.47, with 119 conversions within the system. Brach struck out 375 over 300.3 innings and allowed just 247 hits (17 homers) over that span. The kid was groomed for this gig, so he should do ok.

Some guys live a charmed life, and Reds hurler Michael Lorenzen certainly has had a charmed season thus far. To start, Lorenzen banged a game-winning pinch-hit homer on April 6. On April 10, Lorenzen copped a win, and on Saturday a save, though the question is what Lorenzen's role is with Raisel Iglesias owning the closing gig. But Lorenzen surely seems to have some good start karma this year, and that is nothing to dismiss. Just saying.

Infielder Miguel Rojas has been spelling the Miami hot corner with Martin Prado injured, and Rojas has done well, hitting .367-0-2 with an equally impressive five walks to six strikeouts so far. Rojas can play all over the infield, although his big league numbers are indeed better than those in the Minors (.244-20-221 over 790 games). Still, in a deep NL format, the everyday at-bats are the godsend. Exploit accordingly.

Find me @lawrmichaels.


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