Welcome to the NFL playoffs! After a season full of craziness, ups and downs and more controversy over playoff format, we finally arrive at the finish line. This weekend proves to be exciting if not a little bit odd. Many of the teams featured have starting QBs with little to no playoff experience (A.J. McCarron, Alex Smith, Brian Hoyer, Teddy Bridgewater and Kirk Cousins) and the other three QBs have won a Super Bowl (Ben Roethlisberger, Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers), so where does that leave us? We’re left wondering if the upstarts can continue playing impressive football, which big name QB will put up a dud, and who can be relied upon for this week’s DFS.
DraftKings is continuing on their Millionaire Maker tournament with an entry fee of $20, which is what I will be focusing on. Remember, with a tournament like this one, the concept is to not have the same lineup as everyone, and also just to place. The odds of winning are minimal, but just placing can see you win back some good money.
A.J. McCarron ($5200): McCarron will be a favorite pick up amongst DFS players this week. With plenty of targets and a great matchup, I feel confident that the Bengals backup can put up solid numbers at the best price possible.
Russell Wilson ($7000): No doubt the play of the week. Coming off a ridiculous end of season run, and still without Beast Mode, Wilson will be asked to carry the load yet again. That shouldn’t be a problem for a quarterback who really thrives in the postseason.
Ben Roethlisberger ($7200): Don’t get me wrong, I think Big Ben will put up decent numbers. However, with such a small slate of games, the highest priced QB shouldn’t just be putting up decent numbers. The Bengals defense will be amped up to finally break through in the playoffs and will try to put the team on their backs. This is a very good defense that will cause Ben some major issues.
Aaron Rodgers ($6400): How can the third most expensive QB be a sleeper, you ask? Well, Rodgers is coming off one of his worst seasons as a pro, and people seem to have forgotten just how good the Cal alum really is. With a great matchup this week, I say jump aboard the Rodgers train.
This field of RBs is just sad looking. Outside of Adrian Peterson, there isn’t a big name back to be seen, and AP has the Seahawks. This is certainly a punt position for me.
Giovani Bernard ($4000): Bernard is the pass catching back for the Bengals, and that bodes well coming in against the Steelers. Despite the fact that the Steelers were very good defending RBs and TEs this season, I feel that Bernard should thrive. When a backup QB is in, they tend to either go big or check down, meaning there should be plenty of opportunities for Bernard to sneak out the backfield and rack up catches.
Christine Michael ($4400): Michael should carry the load against the Vikings with Marshawn Lynch still out. I don’t really expect this game to be close, leaving Michael with plenty of mop up duty and good yards overall.
Adrian Peterson ($7300): The Seahawks have allowed the least amount of fantasy points to opposing RBs this season. The last matchup against Seattle saw All Day score 6.4 points. None of these are good signs, and AP just isn’t worth the money this week.
None. My two starts should be considered sleepers.
A.J. Green ($7500): Green is my top play at any position this week. I have a feeling that the A.J. to A.J. connection will be strong and with Pittsburgh subpar secondary that can spell a big day for Cincy’s #1 receiver.
Antonio Brown ($9600): Just because I expect Big Ben to struggle a bit does not mean that Antonio Brown isn’t a lock to be on every DFS team. Brown is too good to pass up on, and WR that is targeted as often as he is deserves a spot on any roster.
Doug Baldwin ($6700): If it looks like I am high on the top WRs it’s because I am. Baldwin really emerged at the end of the season, and I really don’t see that slowing down.
Jeremy Maclin ($6400): People have been trying to convince me all week that Maclin is a good play, heck, I’ve tried to convince myself, and I just can’t do it. Houston ranks 7th in the NFL in points allowed to WRs, I don’t trust Alex Smith and I can see this game being a low scoring defensive battle.
Marvin Jones ($3700): Can you tell I am high on the Bengals receivers? I like Jones as a deep play threat to get a couple of chances over the top for big gains. Jones is a boom or bust type of player and as such I am leaving him as a sleeper.
Travis Kelce ($4500): But I just said the KC game would be a low scoring affair!! Yes, I realize the hypocrisy however if there is a TD to be caught on the Chiefs side of the ball it is this man who is going to do it. We all know the stat from last year about KC wideouts not catching a TD, that shows you how much Alex Smith relies on his TEs, and that shouldn’t change this weekend.
Richard Rodgers ($4000): I like Rodgers for a similar reason as Kelce. I like the fact that he is a big Red Zone presence, and the matchup is definitely there this week. Rodgers will certainly get the targets, so the big man is a great value.
Let me call this a fade, as it is not really a bust.
Jordan Reed ($6300): Who is going to be owned more this week. Reed or Antonio Brown?? I would say Reed, everyone and their brother is starting the guy, and as such you should look elsewhere for your Tight End production.
Kyle Rudolph ($3500): Terrible matchup, but one of Teddy Bridgewater’s ($5100) favorite targets. Look for Rudolph to at least get you points in the reception category and be worth the small investment opening up salary room for other players.
Chiefs ($4000): The Chiefs have had an incredible run to finish the season, and it is mainly down to their defense being nothing short of incredible. They get to tee off against Brian Hoyer ($5400) and the subpar Texans offense and should have a field day.
Steelers ($3700): At this point, I think you get the message. I don’t trust, nor do I like the Steeler’s defense.
Packers ($2800): Granted Kirk Cousins ($5900) has been great at home all season, but I just get the feeling that this Packers team has been coasting through the regular season and has that extra gear that nobody saw coming. I also don’t know how well Cousins will hold up in his first ever playoff start so the cheapest DST out there is worth a shot.
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