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Tout Wars FAAB Report: Week of July 7 PDF Print E-mail
MASTERSBLOG
Written by Todd Zola   
Monday, 07 July 2014 11:32

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Each week, your friends at Mastersball will post the results of the weekly Tout Wars FAAB run, featuring the winning bid as well as the runner-up bids. There are four Tout Wars leagues, a 12-team AL only, 12-team NL only, 15-team Mixed Auction League and 15-team Mixed Draft League. The Mixed leagues use on-base-percentage instead of batting average. You can see the complete standings for each league by clicking on the appropriate heading, located just under each player photo.

Tout Wars uses a Vickrey system to award bids. For a complete description of the Vickrey system, click HERE for the Tout Wars constitution.

Included with each league report will be commentary from a Mastersball staff member participating in that league. We invite you to ask questions and post comments at the bottom of the report.

All contingency bids for awarded players are included. Sometimes, this is a bid tied to a player that the owner received, so at times the bid amount is larger than the winning bid. We are including it to provide as much information and context as possible with each report.

*PLEASE NOTE - We have slightly altered the presentation in an effort to help you reconstruct the actual bidding a little better. The amount the owner paid is listed in a column followed by the non-adjusted Vickrey bid. The remaining bids for that player are then listed in order of amount. if the amount of an unawarded bid is greater than what was charged, the bid was a contingency bid by that owner and they were awarded a player of higher priority.

New to the report is "Todd's Take" where Lord Zola will share his unique perspective focusing on FAAB strategy, game theory and league dynamics.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

samardzija

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

JSamardzija, Oak 77 Andy Behrens 85 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 76 Jeff Erickson 64
Jason Collette 50 Lawr Michaels 47 Steve Moyer 42
Ron Shandler 35 Larry Schechter 19 Rob Leibowitz 19
JHammel, Oak 51 Jeff Erickson 58 Andy Behrens 85 Jason Collette 50
Steve Moyer 42 Ron Shandler 35 Lawr Michaels 30
Rob Leibowitz 19 Larry Schechter 19 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 13
BBoxberger, TB 5 Jason Collette 6 Rob Leibowitz 4 Jeff Erickson 2
Chris Liss 0 Steve Moyer 0
MKawasaki, Tor 3 Lawr Michaels 4 Larry Schechter 2
JGallo, Tex 1 Chris Liss 1
ZWheeler, NYY 1 Jason Collette 3 Jeff Erickson 10 Larry Schechter 2
Chris Liss 0 Steve Moyer 0
DSantana, Hou 1 Mike Podhorzer 21 Chris Liss 0 Steve Moyer 0
EHernandez, Hou 1 Larry Schechter 2 Steve Moyer 0 Jeff Erickson 0
Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
NFreiman, Oak 1 Lawr Michaels 5 Larry Schechter 2 Steve Moyer 0
RIbanez, KC 1 Larry Schechter 2 Steve Moyer 0
AWarren, NYY 0 Chris Liss 0
RFlaherty, Bal 0 Steve Moyer 0 Larry Schechter 2 Jeff Erickson 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

CColon, KC Chris Liss 0 Steve Moyer 0
CSmith, Det Jason Collette 0
FCervelli, NYY Steve Moyer 0

Rob Leibowitz' Commentary

When it comes to league crossover trades, the bids on the best player to cross, in this case Jeff Samardzija, are generally amongst the least interesting to witness. However, this instance was slightly more interesting than usual. This type of situation usually comes down to the team with the most FAAB remaining bids $1 more than the second FAAB hoarder has. Generally the #2 FAAB budgeted team has the unwritten responsibility of  keeping the #1 team honest by A) making sure the first team uses as much FAAB as possible and 2) to protect against or take advantage of  the first team trying to be cute and keep a little left FAAB budget left over by not maxing out their bid. Moyer opted to not go all out and bid in the middle on both league cross over pitchers and the responsibility fell to the third place FAAB budget to price enforce. Behrens almost caught a big break as it’s usually the third highest budget where the deviations from simply maxing out your bid on players you are unlikely to get occur, but it wasn’t meant to be in this instance.

Typically it is the second best player crossing where the bids get more interesting and given that we are still weeks away from the deadline, not everyone went all in on Jason Hammel including the top two FAAB budgets behind Behrens despite the great season he’s having. There’s no guarantee anyone better than Hammel will even cross over.

The sneak-thru FAAB picks of the week were power prospect Joey Gallo and reliever Brian Boxberger. Gallo has already hit 30 HRs between A+ and Double-A this season. The twenty-year old is striking out over 40% of the time in Double-A, but continues to get on base high rates and could be a September call-up. Boxberger picked up a save last week and has been pitching well all season with a K/9 approaching 14.0. However, he is still back on the depth charts behind Jake McGee, so it remains to be seen if he receives more opportunities. In another organization, Boxberger could easily already be a closer

Todd's Take

So much for the notion no one of consequence will be traded across leagues.

As Rob suggested, it is usually the onus of the second place FAAB holder to bid their full boat but in this case, there is a huge caveat. We're not at the trading deadline yet. The reason for pushing the limit is the chances of a better player becoming available is rare but there's still a chance someone else comes over and now Steve has the FAAB hammer (barring a FAAB trade or reclaim). Steve's needs are more towards a power hitter than starting pitcher so he opted to wait for a player that fits as opposed to relying on making a deal.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

hendricks

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

Dstraily, ChC 15 Lenny Melnick  21 Brian Walton 14 Derek Carty 11
Phil Hertz 6 Tristan H. Cockcroft 3 Seth Trachtman 1
KHendricks, ChC 6 Tristan H. Cockcroft 9 Brian Walton 5 Seth Trachtman 1
MFranco, Phi 1 Brian Walton 2
TColvin, SF 1 Lenny Melnick  9
FMorales, Col 1 Steve Gardner 2 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0
MRojas, LAD 0 Scott Wilderman 0 Peter Kreutzer 0
DThayer, SD 0 Gene McCaffrey 0
SFreeman, StL 0 Gene McCaffrey 0
CTorres, NYM 0 Phil Hertz 0 Steve Gardner 0
JBour, Mia 0 Peter Kreutzer 0
ZDuke, Mil 0 Peter Kreutzer 0 Steve Gardner 0
JLobaton, Was 0 Derek Carty 0
KHill, Phi 0 Derek Carty 0

 UNAWARDED BIDS

NSoto, Cin Phil Hertz 1
SManess, StL Phil Hertz 0 Steve Gardner 0
CRupp, Phi Derek Carty 0
EArruebarrena, LAD Scott Wilderman 0
JBianchi, Mil Scott Wilderman 0
JDiaz, Cin Gene McCaffrey 0
JHowell, LAD Peter Kreutzer 0
JHughes, Pit Peter Kreutzer 0
JPerez, SF Peter Kreutzer 0
JWright, LAD Steve Gardner 0
KQuackenbush, SD Peter Kreutzer 0
LAvilan, Atl Gene McCaffrey 0
WWright, ChC Peter Kreutzer 0

Brian Walton's Commentary

As it turned out, I was in the midst of the action for both crooked number players this week, but only as an enforcer. Both are new players in the pool, as fresh trade-deadline blood has started to flow into the NL. While bigger deals could be coming, I am not waiting around to find out.

The blockbuster swap in which the Cubs sent 2/5 of their rotation to Oakland did not hurt NL Tout, as players traded out of the league remain eligible for the remainder of the season. On the other hand, all of the three new Cubs were dispatched to the minors after the trade, so are not going to immediately alter our standings.

Billy McKinney and Addison Russell will not likely contribute in Chicago in 2014, but Dan Straily is a proven major league starter. As such, I went $14, assuming I would be outbid. I was, but only by one Tout warrior, Lenny Melnick. Lenny offered $21 and paid $15 Vickrey.

One pitcher potentially standing in the way of Straily is Kyle Hendricks. Being pulled early from his Triple-A start on Sunday increased speculation that the 24-year-old is on the way to the Windy City. Hendricks has a 3.58 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 100 2/3 Triple-A innings this season.

The other new pitcher expected to join the Cubs rotation is Tsuyoshi Wada, already owned by Seth Trachtman. All Straily needs is for one of the two of Hendricks and Wada to stumble – or another trade!

A far less exciting interleague swap is the one in which Arizona received lefty Vidal Nuno from the Yankees for Brandon McCarthy and cash. Nuno for $2 was my second conditional bid after Straily and Hendricks. I thought I won the standings tiebreaker for the new Diamondback with Derek Carty, who also had lost out on Straily, but it was not to be.

Though the trade occurred during the day on Sunday, Tout’s stats provider, onRoto.com, only updates player status once per 24 hours, overnight. So according to league rules, Nuno will not be in the eligible NL player pool until next Sunday night. This also tripped up AL Tout bidding for McCarthy.  Timing is everything – or nothing.

Todd's Take

I'm going to take a little liberty and discuss a more general topic than these FAAB results. I'm in this league and the epiphany struck while looking at this league so I figured I'd talk about it here.

In batting average leagues (BA) it has been a common strategy not to worry about the category because it is so fickle. Tout switched to OBP for all its leagues this season and I carried that thinking into the March auction (not worrying about OBP). Shame on me.

I'll save the correlations for a more appropriate space but the bottom line is the other hitting categories correlate better with OBP than they do batting average. As such, the leaders in OBP leagues should be faring better in OBP than the leaders in BA leagues fare in BA. Granted we're only halfway through and this deserves a more complete investigation at season's end, but here is how well OBP/BA correlates to place in the standings to date in Tout Wars and LABR. The closer to 1.00, the better the correlation

 

AL NL Mix Draft Mix Auction
Tout Wars 0.66 0.70 0.46 0.56
LABR 0.64 0.51 0.20

It's too early to start suggesting in OBP leagues it is wise not to ignore OBP, but we're leaning that way.

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

ruggiano

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

JRuggiano, ChC 14 Paul Singman 18 Ray Flowers 13 Scott Swanay 13
Tim Heaney 7 Scott Pianowski 5 Fred Zinkie 2
TKoehler, Mia 5 Scott Pianowski 9 Derek Van Riper 4 Ray Flowers 4
Tim Heaney 3 Ray Guilfoyle 1 Patrick Davitt 0
YGrandal, SD 2 Cory Schwartz 11 Al Melchior 1
RChirinos, Tex 2 Scott Pianowski 2 Al Melchior 1
EMujica, Bos 1 Ray Flowers 2
SVanSlyke, LAD 1 Scott Pianowski 5
LForsythe, TB 1 Paul Singman 5 Scott Pianowski 4 Tim Heaney 3
Fred Zinkie 0
TMatzek, Col 1 Patrick Davitt 1 Tim Heaney 3
MMoustakas, KC 1 Tim Heaney 7 Paul Singman 4
BGuyer, TB 1 David Gonos 2
DPeralta, Ari 1 Scott Swanay 12 Paul Singman 12 Fred Zinkie 0
JPetricka, CWS 1 Tim Heaney 7
JBroxton, Cin 1 Tim Heaney 4
ODespaigne, SD 1 Ray Guilfoyle 1 Tim Heaney 2
MMikolas, Tex 1 Al Melchior 2
EHernandez, Hou 1 Al Melchior 1
RHanigan, TB 0 Patrick Davitt 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

BBoxberger, TB Tim Heaney 2
UJimenez, Bal Tim Heaney 2
DStraily, ChC Tim Heaney 1
JTazawa, Bos Tim Heaney 1
CGimenez, Tex Patrick Davitt 0
DMatsuzaka, NYM Patrick Davitt 0
KKendrick, Phi Patrick Davitt 0

Zach Steinhorn's Commentary

Heading into the season, I liked Justin Ruggiano as an underrated power/speed asset, but up until a few weeks ago, things just weren’t working out for him. His production and playing time were inconsistent and he missed over a month due to a hamstring strain. But he’s been hot of late, having recorded multiple hits in six of his last eight games with two homers and nine RBI over that span. Ruggiano is playing just about every day for the time being, but that crowded Cubs outfield worries me. He did tally 18 homers and 15 steals in 424 at-bats last year, so he certainly carries some upside going forward. But $14 still seems a bit high. Then again, with FAAB, I’ve always been an advocate of spending for immediate help over saving for later.

Very quietly, Tom Koehler has registered a 1.89 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his last three starts, spanning 19 innings, to go along with a 21-to-4 K/BB ratio. Being that he’s a two-start pitcher this week, Koehler is definitely worth the $5 investment. I considered bidding on him but couldn’t decide who to drop, so I reluctantly passed. The four-man reserve limit can really be a pain sometimes.

Of course, a Mixed Auction Tout Wars FAAB report would not be complete without a mention of saves, and since Jake Petricka tossed two perfect innings to pick up the save for the White Sox on Saturday, it’s no surprise that he was scooped up on Monday. At this point, who knows what Robin Ventura is thinking regarding his club’s ninth inning situation, but at the measly price of $1, Tim Heaney’s purchase is of the low risk/high reward variety.

Todd's Take

There's a lot of players and a lot of games to follow - sometimes things slip through the cracks. Something I do with these reports and look at the bids and if there is one that looks curious (Why are so many bidding on that guy?) - I'll take a look. There was a good deal of action on Logan Forsythe, more than I expected. Lo and behold Forsythe has 2 or more hits in 6 of his last 8 games including 3 homers. Will be keep it up? Of course not. But it does get him in the Tampa lineup almost every day until he slows down, and as we like to say, at-bats are currency.

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

dperalta

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

DPeralta, Ari 4 Charlie Wiegert 9 Perry Van Hook 3
JRuggiano, ChC 4 Charlie Wiegert 9 Perry Van Hook 3
GJones, Mia 3 Tom Kessenich 4 Adam Ronis 2
CParmelee, Min 1 Adam Ronis 2 Eno Sarris 1
AEthier, LAD 1 Eno Sarris 1 Tom Kessenich 2 Charlie Wiegert 1
RHanigan, TB 1 Charlie Wiegert 1 Ray Murphy 0
YPino, Min 1 Scott Engel 1
CLewis, Tex 1 Anthony Perri 2
LForsythe, TB 1 Tim McLeod 3
JNelson, Mil 1 Tim McLeod 1
JBroxton, Cin 1 Perry Van Hook 3 Tim McLeod 0
MAviles, Cle 1 Perry Van Hook 2
HConger, LAA 0 Ray Murphy 0 Charlie Wiegert 1
BBoxberger, TB 0 Tim McLeod 0 Perry Van Hook 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

TMedica, SD Charlie Wiegert 7
NFeliz, Tex Perry Van Hook 3
ISuzuki, NYY Tom Kessenich 2
CGentry, Oak Tom Kessenich 2
NHundley, Bal Charlie Wiegert 1 Ray Murphy 0
WVenable, SD Charlie Wiegert 1
CJoseph, Bal Charlie Wiegert 1
ECampbell, NYM Eno Sarris 1
EStults, SD Scott Engel 1
JPanik, SF Tim McLeod 1
JUribe, LAD Adam Ronis 0
MGonzalez, Bal Scott Engel 0
EVolquez, Pit Scott Engel 0
PNeshek, StL Tim McLeod 0
TMatzek, Col Scott Engel 0
WMiley, Ari Perry Van Hook 0
DNava, Bos Adam Ronis 0
CColabello, Min Adam Ronis 0

Perry Van Hook's Commentary

In this league I was outbid for both the outfielders I wanted to replace Ender Inciarte. I bid $3 on both David Peralta and Justin Ruggiano, but Charlie Wiegert bid $9 for Peralta and $7 for Ruggiano and rostered both for $4. Unlucky there was a team that had two outfield spots to fill against me and was the league’s high bidder this week.

On the pitching side with Tommy Milone losing his roster spot in Oakland and the All Star break week coming I wanted to pick up an extra relief pitcher that might get me a few saves. I was set to have Ranger Neftali Feliz in my top spot but with Jonathan Broxton picking up the save for the Reds on Sunday because Aroldis Chapman was dealing with a hamstring issue, I moved Broxton ahead of Feliz and won him for a dollar on a $3 bid. Again with the ASB coming it is very possible that Cincinnati is ultra conservative with Chapman and Broxton gets a few saves this week. Hopefully as this was one of three leagues where I added him on Sunday.

Todd's Take

Perry explained his bids above but if I'm in this league and have a surplus in the outfield, I'm dropping the good Captain a note. He obviously wanted an outfielder so perhaps a mutual swap is on order. 

Looking at the results of a FAAB run offers some interesting insight into an owner's strategy. Are they punting ratios as evidenced by bidding on lesser pitchers? Are they focusing on ratios by bidding on top set-up men? 

There's only one way to find out for sure-- ask!

Last Updated on Monday, 07 July 2014 23:11
 
Star Spangled Baseball PDF Print E-mail
MASTERSBLOG
Written by Perry Van Hook   
Thursday, 03 July 2014 18:24

Across our great country Friday, Americans will celebrate the July 4th “birthday” of the USA with parades, picnics, fireworks displays and of course the great American sport of baseball.

The first game on the July 4 calendar will be an 11 AM ET start for the Washington Nationals hosting the Chicago Cubs in the nation’s capital. That is a nice 8 AM breakfast start for those of us on Pacific Time.

That will be followed by a 1:35 ET/10:35 PT visit of the Baltimore Orioles to Fenway Pahk to play the Red Sox. Who knows, maybe it will be one of Jon Lester’s last starts in the iconic Boston stadium.

Then we start a new game each hour.

 3:10 ET (2:10 PM CT and just past noon on the left coast) the Yankees visit Minnesota to play the Twins.

4:05 ET (1:05 PT) sees the AL East first place Toronto Blue Jays in a cross country matchup with the AL West leading Oakland Athletics.

5:05 ET (2:05 PT) is the battle for bragging rights in the state of Pennsylvania as the Phillies visit Pittsburgh to take on the Pirates.

6:40 ET (3:40 PT) is the No Cal vs Lo Cal battle with the San Francisco Giants playing the San Diego Padres at Petco Park.

The bulk of the 4th of July games start in the 7 o’clock hour on the East Coast, obviously three hours earlier on the Left Coast.

7:05 ET (4:05 PT) the Kansas City Royals at the Cleveland Indians

7:08 ET (4:08 PT) the Tampa Bay Rays are at the Detroit Tigers

7:10 ET (4:10 PT) has the first pitch scheduled for three games:

Milwaukee Brewers at the Cincinnati Reds

Seattle Mariners at the Chicago White Sox, and the

Texas Rangers in New York City to play the Metropolitans

7:15 ET (4:15 PT) the Miami Marlins are in St. Louis to play the Cardinals

7:35 ET (4:35 PT) sees the Arizona Diamondbacks visiting Georgia to play the Atlanta Braves

8:10 ET (5:10 PT the Los Angeles Dodgers will be up for a game at the Colorado Rockies and finally at

9:05 ET (6:05 PT) the Houston Astros visit the home of Disneyland to play the LA Angels of Anaheim for the final game of the day.

Last Updated on Thursday, 03 July 2014 19:08
 
Tout Wars FAAB Report: Week of June 30 PDF Print E-mail
MASTERSBLOG
Written by Todd Zola   
Monday, 30 June 2014 15:22

toutbanner

Each week, your friends at Mastersball will post the results of the weekly Tout Wars FAAB run, featuring the winning bid as well as the runner-up bids. There are four Tout Wars leagues, a 12-team AL only, 12-team NL only, 15-team Mixed Auction League and 15-team Mixed Draft League. The Mixed leagues use on-base-percentage instead of batting average. You can see the complete standings for each league by clicking on the appropriate heading, located just under each player photo.

Tout Wars uses a Vickrey system to award bids. For a complete description of the Vickrey system, click HERE for the Tout Wars constitution.

Included with each league report will be commentary from a Mastersball staff member participating in that league. We invite you to ask questions and post comments at the bottom of the report.

All contingency bids for awarded players are included. Sometimes, this is a bid tied to a player that the owner received, so at times the bid amount is larger than the winning bid. We are including it to provide as much information and context as possible with each report.

*PLEASE NOTE - We have slightly altered the presentation in an effort to help you reconstruct the actual bidding a little better. The amount the owner paid is listed in a column followed by the non-adjusted Vickrey bid. The remaining bids for that player are then listed in order of amount. if the amount of an unawarded bid is greater than what was charged, the bid was a contingency bid by that owner and they were awarded a player of higher priority.

New to the report is "Todd's Take" where Lord Zola will share his unique perspective focusing on FAAB strategy, game theory and league dynamics.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

putnam

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

ZPutnam, CWS 16 Rob Leibowitz 17 Jeff Erickson 15 Mike Podhorzer 7
Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 6 Andy Behrens 5 Larry Schechter 5
CPena, Tex 16 Andy Behrens 16 Larry Schechter 16 Mike Podhorzer 12
Joe Sheehan 12 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
TMcFarland, Bal 2 Andy Behrens 4 Chris Liss 1
JPolanco, Min 1 Andy Behrens 8
JGrilli, LAA 7 Jeff Erickson 15 Rob Leibowitz 7 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 6
Larry Schechter 5 Mike Podhorzer 3 Chris Liss 0
NMartinez, Tex 0 Chris Liss 0 Joe Sheehan 3
DMastroianni, Tor 1 Mike Podhorzer 6
LHoes, Hou 3 Larry Schechter 8 Mike Podhorzer 3 Ron Shandler 2
Jason Collette 1 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
JGuerra, CWS 4 Joe Sheehan 7 Mike Podhorzer 3 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
RCook, Oak 1 Larry Schechter 1
MSierra, CWS 1 Jason Collette 8
CJoseph, Bal 1 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
JVeras, Hou 0 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

NFreiman, Oak Larry Schechter 4
CFigueroa, TB Jason Collette 2
BGlenn, Tor Andy Behrens 2
SCarroll, CWS Chris Liss 0
YMedina, Sea Larry Schechter 0
AWarren, NYY Larry Schechter 0
FAbad, Oak Larry Schechter 0
MMorin, LAA Larry Schechter 0
BHoladay, Det Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
BHayes, KC Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
JMolina, TB Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
JThole, Tor Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0

Rob Leibowitz' Commentary

Zach Putnam earned himself a save and earned himself some bids as a result. Given an average fastball, average control, and solid, but non-typical closer strikeout rates (7.1 K/9), Putnam did not receive aggressive $30-plus bids he would have had he been a reliever with a stronger skill set and of course if Manager Robin Ventura had actually committed to him for the time being. Instead, the White's Sox's closer situation remains fluid, but those speculating for saves must pursue the person who drew first blood. In Putnam's defense, he may not be a true strikeout machine, but the righty has gotten ground balls over 50% of the time in 2013 and over 60% of the time in 2014, so that will certainly help his cause too.

The Brad Snyder experiment did not last long as the Rangers brought in their former player, Carlos Pena. The 36 year old still has some pop and draws walks, but has not hit over .227 in a single season since 2008. For OBP leaguers he did at least produce a .325 OBP back in 2010 when he hit .196, so there is a little better value there. This will not be the Ranger's last experiment of the season at first base with Moreland and Fielder out

Todd's Take

Granted, the number of precincts contributing to this vote is limited but according to the Touts, Zach Putnam has a better chance of earning saves than Jason Grilli. Leibowitz and Podhorzer were both willing to spend more for Putnam. Behrens only bid on Putnam so that makes three votes for Putnam. Erickson, Schechter and Wolf/Colton all bid equally on both. Liss was the only one to bid only on Grilli and that was a $0 bid.

For what it's worth, I'm in the Grilli camp if the play is for the second half. Working against Grilli is Joe Smith is better than anyone the White Sox have but my gut says the Angels acquired Grilli hoping he has one last run as a dominant closer.

If you're wondering where Mookie Betts is, Rob sneaked him onto his roster just last week using the rule that Brian Walton has so eloquently discussed in his Saturday feature on Mastersball, Articles of Configuration. The Tout rule is anyone in that formats organization is available for acquisition with two caveats: a non-zero bid is required for all those not on a 25-man roster and the player must remain active during the week of acquisition. So if you're willing to take a zero for the week, you can get a jump on prospects previous to their promotion.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

campbell

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

ODespaigne, SD 7 Scott Wilderman 8 Todd Zola 6 Gene McCaffrey 6
Mike Gianella 5 Brian Walton 4 Peter Kreutzer 4
ECampbell, NYM 7 Todd Zola 13 Gene McCaffrey 6 Mike Gianella 4
Brian Walton 3
MGonzales, StL 5 Gene McCaffrey 21 Mike Gianella 4 Brian Walton 3
Peter Kreutzer 1 Derek Carty 3 Peter Kreutzer 0
NAhmed, Ari 3 Phil Hertz 7 Mike Gianella 2 Brian Walton 2
ADuvall, SF 2 Mike Gianella 4 Todd Zola 11 Peter Kreutzer 1
Tristan H. Cockcroft 0 Steve Gardner 0 Brian Walton 0
KNieuwenhuis, NYM 1 Brian Walton 1 Mike Gianella 1 Todd Zola 0
Peter Kreutzer 0
CHernandez, Phi 1 Tristan H. Cockcroft 1 Phil Hertz 0
EFrieri, Pit 1 Tristan H. Cockcroft 2
TWatson, Pit 0 Brian Walton 0
SPimentel, Pit 0 Brian Walton 0 Peter Kreutzer 0
SSimmons, Atl 0 Todd Zola 0 Brian Walton 0 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0
GLaird, Atl 0 Todd Zola 0
DDescalso, StL 0 Mike Gianella 0 Phil Hertz 2
DSolano, Mia 0 Peter Kreutzer 0 Phil Hertz 0 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0
ATorres, SD 0 Steve Gardner 0
JRussell, ChC 0 Peter Kreutzer 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

NEvans, Ari Todd Zola 11
JGoebbert, SD Todd Zola 11
MRojas, LAD Mike Gianella 0 Phil Hertz 0
JLobaton, Was Peter Kreutzer 0 Todd Zola 0
CStewart, Pit Todd Zola 0
JMathis, Mia Todd Zola 0
KHill, Phi Todd Zola 0
WNieves, Phi Todd Zola 0

Brian Walton's Commentary

The National League Tout Wars free agent who received the most ink this past week is certainly deposed Angels closer Ernesto Frieri, dealt to the Pirates for Jason Grilli in an old-fashioned challenge trade. Two-time defending league champ Tristan H. Cockcroft of ESPN was the lone bidder, however, and had to pay just $1. FWIW, I instead added two other Bucs’ relievers in Tony Watson and Stolmy Pimentel for some ratio help. Chances are that none of the three will be receiving save opportunities any time soon.

In my regular Saturday column, I predicted two of the top sellers in NL Tout this week. Unfortunately, I also predicted I would not be the highest bidder for either pitcher.

On Sunday, San Diego’s Odrisamer Despaigne made his second respectable start since replacing injured Andrew Cashner in San Diego’s rotation. The 27-year-old Cuban has a solid arsenal, but does not possess a true strikeout pitch. Scott Wilderman from onRoto.com was willing to go $8 and had to spend $7.

St. Louis’ rookie Marco Gonzales lost his opportunity to start in the Texas League All-Star Game and was pulled from the MLB All-Star Futures Game, but the reward was a promotion from Double-A to the majors. After an uneven first start in Denver, the 22-year-old draws Tim Lincecum in San Francisco next. Wise Guy Baseball’s Gene McCaffrey was willing to go $21, reduced to $5 by Vickrey Rules. The aggressive bid apparently indicates low confidence in rehabbing Joe Kelly coming back soon and bumping Gonzales down to Triple-A. My bid of just $3 reflected that possibility.

Last month, Mets manager Terry Collins said he was considering giving Eric Campbell a look at middle infield. Though that has not occurred, the 28-year-old has seen time at both infield corners and both outfield corners, too. Results at the plate have been decent as well, leading to spirited bidding won by our Lord Zola at $7, reduced from $13 by Vickrey.

Todd's Take

On a personal level, especially considering the collective effort it takes to produce these reports, I'd like to make them as useful as possible. As such, I wonder about the most subtle details of the presentation. Granted, it's all there but it's human nature to start at the top of the grid until you get bored and move onto the analysis. Here's an example, piggybacking on Brian's comment concerning McCaffrey and Marco Gonzales. The single largest non-Vickrey bid was Gene's $21 offer for Gonzales - that's relevant information. I value Gene's opinion and this tells me he has some faith in Gonzales. However, this nuance may get lost as the bid was reduced to the third highest so the brain may perceive the interest on Gonzales wasn't as strong as some of the other available players when in fact it was.

That said, I also value Brian's opinion and he's less enthusiastic with respect to Gonzales. Guessing playing time and injuries is a crap shoot so my personal take-home message from this is Gene believes in Gonzales' talent while Brian is reticent to spend to get only a couple more starts. The relevant info for me is to put Gonzales on my radar. I play in ample mixed leagues that if he does in fact keep the job, he may be worth a pick-up.

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

mookiebetts

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

MBetts, Bos 36 Fred Zinkie 65 Ray Guilfoyle 35 Cory Schwartz 13
SCasilla, SF 14 Al Melchior 16 Cory Schwartz 13 Tim Heaney 11
Ray Flowers 6
LMorrison, Sea 3 Nando DiFino 8 Cory Schwartz 2
ZPutnam, CWS 1 Ray Flowers 6 Derek Van Riper 6 Tim Heaney 4
Cory Schwartz 1
TDArnaud, NYM 1 Ray Flowers 6
GBalfour, TB 1 Nando DiFino 21
JJay, StL 1 Cory Schwartz 1
DJeter, NYY 1 Derek Van Riper 2 Cory Schwartz 1
BWorkman, Bos 1 Cory Schwartz 5
TWood, ChC 1 Tim Heaney 4
MGonzales, StL 1 Derek Van Riper 15
RWeeks, Mil 1 Ray Guilfoyle 3

UNAWARDED BIDS

ODespaigne, SD Derek Van Riper 6
JPetricka, CWS Ray Flowers 3 Tim Heaney 2 Cory Schwartz 1
YGrandal, SD Ray Flowers 3 Cory Schwartz 0
RChirinos, Tex Ray Flowers 1
MMcKenry, Col Ray Flowers 1
TKoehler, Mia Cory Schwartz 1
JGuthrie, KC Cory Schwartz 1
CJoseph, Bal Ray Flowers 1
RHanigan, TB Ray Flowers 1
MMoustakas, KC Cory Schwartz 1
ACallaspo, Oak Fred Zinkie 0

Zach Steinhorn's Commentary

Saves and steals are the two categories where ground could be made up quickly with the addition of as little as one player. Throughout the season, owners in this league have been willing to spend large amounts of FAAB dollars on speculative or even temporary closers. And there was some of that this week, as Santiago Casilla, who will share closer duties for the Giants with Jeremy Affeldt until Sergio Romo straightens things out, garnered a $14 winning bid. Casilla does have experience in the ninth inning, but this does sound like one of those temporary situations, as Romo has been one of the game’s elite closers over the past few years. In other words, Bruce Bochy probably wants to reinstall Romo as his closer as soon as possible. He just needs a reason to make the move.

As for steals, well, there’s this guy named Mookie Betts who was sporting a .437 OBP in the Minors this year with 29 stolen bases in 77 games. Betts made his big league debut last night, and he wasted no time getting to work on the base paths, though he got caught stealing in his one attempt. Boston’s outfield is a bit crowded but it’s hard to imagine that the Red Sox called up Betts to sit on the bench. The stolen base standings are still bunched up in the middle, with league leader Fred Zinkie being one of those middle teams, so it’s not a huge surprise that Fred chose to bid $65 for Betts’ services, a number that could only be topped by three of the other 14 teams.

And the wait continues for Scott Swanay to use some of his 97 remaining FAAB dollars. Scott didn’t make any bids this week despite being another one of those middle teams in the stolen base rankings.

Todd's Take

Let's play another round of which guy is most likely to get saves. Based on the bids, the Touts favor Casilla over Putnam. While I don't disagree, I see Sergio Romo getting the gig back. True, his strikeouts continue to fall but it is a severe case of gopheritis that ails him most. A few clean outings and Romo should be back in the ninth.

What's really curious is no one other than Nando DiFino was willing to take a shot on Balfour. That would have been my play -- of all the candidates, he has the best chance to lock it down over the second half.

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

guyer

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

BGuyer, TB 5 Eno Sarris 6 Scott Engel 4
ZPutnam, CWS 5 Nicholas Minnix 6 Tim McLeod 4
TDArnaud, NYM 3 Nicholas Minnix 6 Anthony Perri 2
ESuarez, Det 3 Nicholas Minnix 6 Nicholas Minnix 3 Perry Van Hook 2
OArcia, Min 1 Eno Sarris 1
DDietrich, Mia 1 Eno Sarris 2
JPetricka, CWS 1 Grey Albright 1 Anthony Perri 1
SVogt, Oak 1 Paul Sporer 4 Nicholas Minnix 0
EInciarte, Ari 1 Perry Van Hook 1
TWood, ChC 1 Greg Ambrosius 2
ODespaigne, SD 1 Perry Van Hook 3
WDavis, KC 0 Ray Murphy 0
KGiles, Phi 0 Tim McLeod 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

SVanSlyke, LAD Paul Sporer 4
JMayberry, Phi Paul Sporer 3
EVolquez, Pit Perry Van Hook 2
JBroxton, Cin Perry Van Hook 2
WVenable, SD Eno Sarris 1
BBoxberger, TB Ray Murphy 0
BMcCarthy, Ari Nicholas Minnix 0
BRoberts, NYY Nicholas Minnix 0
HConger, LAA Nicholas Minnix 0
CJoseph, Bal Nicholas Minnix 0
DNava, Bos Nicholas Minnix 0
RHanigan, TB Nicholas Minnix 0
RWeeks, Mil Nicholas Minnix 0

Perry Van Hook's Commentary

Highest bidder this week was Nick Minnix who tried three six dollar bids for Mets catcher Travis D’Arnaud, White Sox RP Zach Putnam, and Tiger shortstop Eugenio Suarez. With Vickrey reductions, Minnix got D’Arnaud for $3; Putnam for $5; and Suarez for $3.

Eno Sarris was also a six dollar bidder, winning Tampa fly chaser Brandon Guyer for $5.

Interesting that in chasing the White Sox new closer by committee, Putnam went for $5 while Jake Petricka went for just $1 to Grey Albright which was his only bid.

Also interesting to note that as in some other leagues, San Diego Padres new Cuban pitcher Odrisamer Despaigne went cheaply – I got him for $1 on a three dollar bid despite now being 2-0 with an ERA under 1.00. We will see what happens in his next start – also at Petco against the struggling San Francisco Giants.

Todd's Take

We've come this far with the closer comparisons, may as well finish this off with one more. It's intriguing that Putnam and Jake Petricka both received a pair of bids, but no one bid on both. The bids on Putman were more aggressive - but why not bid on both?

Last Updated on Wednesday, 02 July 2014 10:36
 
LABR FAAB Report: Week of June 30 PDF Print E-mail
MASTERSBLOG
Written by Todd Zola   
Monday, 30 June 2014 11:34

labr2

Each week, your friends at Mastersball will post the results of the weekly LABR FAAB run, featuring the winning bid as well a the runner-up bids. There are three LABR leagues, a 12-team AL only, 12-team NL only and 15-team Mixed League. You can see the complete standings for each league by clicking on the appropriate heading, located just under each player photo.

Included with each league report will be commentary from a Mastersball staff member participating in that league. We invite you to ask questions and post comments at the bottom of the report.

All contingency bids for awarded players are included. Sometimes, this bid is tied to a player that the owner received, so at times the bid amount is larger than the winning bid. We are including it to provide as much information and context as possible with each report.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

dannava

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

Mookie Betts, BOS $62 Winning Fantasy Baseball 62 NFBC/Stats, Inc. 38 RotoWire 30
Colton & The Wolfman 21 Mastersball 17 Baseball HQ 11
Daniel Nava, BOS $28 Winning Fantasy Baseball 28 ESPN.com 9 RotoWire 4
Jason Grilli, LAA $11 Baseball HQ 11 ESPN.com 8 Fangraphs 7
Colton & The Wolfman 6 SiriusXM 6 RotoWire 3
Mastersball 2
Carlos Pena, TEX $8 RotoWire 8 ESPN.com 5
Erik Bedard, TB $7 RotoWire 7 SiriusXM 2
Zach Putnam, CWS $4 Fangraphs 4 SiriusXM 3 Baseball HQ 3
Colton & The Wolfman 2 Mastersball 2 ESPN.com 1
Jake Petricka, CWS $4 SiriusXM 4 Fangraphs 3 Baseball HQ 3
Colton & The Wolfman 2 Mastersball 2 RotoWire 1
Caleb Joseph, BAL $2 Colton & The Wolfman 2
Javy Guerra, CWS $2 Colton & The Wolfman 2 Fangraphs 3 SiriusXM 4
NFBC/Stats, Inc. 2
Darin Mastroianni, TOR $1 ESPN.com 1
Jose Veras, HOU $1 Mastersball 1 Colton & The Wolfman 2

 UNAWARDED BIDS

Charlie Furbush, SEA SiriusXM 10
Adam Warren, NYY SiriusXM 2
Kevin Correia, MIN SiriusXM 2
Aaron Crow, KC SiriusXM 1
Casey Fien, MIN Fangraphs 1
Cesar Ramos, TB SiriusXM 1
Neal Cotts, TEX RotoWire 1
Yoervis Medina, SEA SiriusXM 1

Perry Van Hook's Commentary.

Larry Schechter, Winning Fantasy Baseball, finally got a chance to bully the weekly bidding with the most FAAB as he won the Mookie Betts derby for a cool $62. The five underbids on Betts ranged from $11 to $38.

Schechter also won Red Sox outfielder Daniel Nava for $28 giving him two thirds of the current Boston outfield, both previously unowned.

The first crossover player from the NL, new Angels RP Jason Grilli, received seven bids from the twelve owners with underbids of $2 to $8 below Dave Adler’s winning $11 bid.

Todd's Take.

This concept has come up previously - knowing what MLB teams your competitors follow and using that to help read between the lines with their bids. Larry Schechter is a Red Sox fan. But he's also a big fan of winning at fantasy baseball (see what I did there?) so he's not going be a fan-boy and go all-in on a couple of Boston outfielders if he didn't believe these two would offer him more help than anyone else that becomes available going forward. Sure, there could be a measure of desperation, but Larry isn't going to put all his eggs in a basket he doesn't believe in. If he does, so should you.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

marcogonzales

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

Marco Gonzales, STL $21 RotoWire - DVR 21
Odrisamer Despaigne, SD $17 RotoWire - DVR 17 Mastersball 5
Eric Campbell, NYM $7 Mastersball 7 Fantasy Insiders 4 RotoWire - DVR 3
Colton & The Wolfman 2 NFBC/Stats, Inc. 2
Jacob deGrom, NYM $7 RotoWire - DVR 7
Ernesto Frieri, PIT $7 RotoWire - DVR 7
Adam Duvall, SF $6 Colton & The Wolfman 6
Donovan Solano, MIA $3 Colton & The Wolfman 3
Tom Kahnle, COL $3 Mastersball 3
Craig Stammen, WSH $1 USA TODAY Sports 1
Travis Snider, PIT $1 Colton & The Wolfman 1
John Baker, CHC $1 NFBC/Stats, Inc. 1

UNAWARDED BIDS

Matt Stites, ARI RotoWire - DVR 1
David Buchanan, PHI USA TODAY Sports 1
Carlos Villanueva, CHC USA TODAY Sports 1
Bryan Morris, MIA USA TODAY Sports 1
Mike Bolsinger, ARI USA TODAY Sports 1
Justin De Fratus, PHI USA TODAY Sports 1

Lawr Michaels' Commentary

After sitting on a wad of FAAB cash for the first half of the season, RotoWire's Derek van Riper shot a chunk this week, purchasing four pitchers and overhauling his staff.

First, he grabbed Cardinals hurler Marco Gonzales ($21), and then outbid just me with $17 for the interesting Odrisamer Despaigne (I bid $5), and the $7 for Jacob deGrom, winding things up with a  $7 save crap shoot for Ernesto Frieri. Aside from the Despaigne challenge, the other bids were uncontested, meaning DVR could have spent just $3 on $35 of actual cost.

But, he had the money, and decided it was time to take a shot. In all DVR spent $52 for four players: $7 more than I gambled on Joe Panik last week.

I managed to grab Eric Campbell for my Mastersball team, which now features nine players on the DL. I  expect Campbell to get hurt this week so I can replace him next, however (there were six bids between $2-$4 I beat out). I also nabbed Thomas Kahnle to spell the again injured Andrew Cashner.

Glenn Colton and Rick Wolf went for a pair of players: Adam Duvall ($6) and infielder Donovan Solano ($3), leaving the final $1 players as John Baker (NFBC/Stats) and Steve Gardner dropped a buck on Craig Stammen.

Todd's Take.

While I'm still a firm believer that pitching needs to be addressed more aggressively than before in the draft, I'm beginning to reconsider my perception that not as much useful pitching emerges in-season. So while I'll still look to draft or purchase a solid foundation, I'll also look to improve the back-end of my staff in-season and direct a little more draft assets to the dwindling offensive side of the ledger.

MIXED LEAGUE

mookiebetts

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

Mookie Betts, BOS $35 Rotowire-Colton 35 RotoExperts 13 MLB.com 11
ESPN.com 10 USA TODAY Sports 8 Fangraphs 6
Grant Green, LAA $6 RotoExperts 6
Santiago Casilla, SF $6 RotoExperts 6 Baseball HQ 6 Fangraphs 5
Rotowire-Colton 3
Jacob Petricka, CWS $4 Baseball HQ 4 Rotowire-Colton 3
Jordy Mercer, PIT $3 KFFL.com 3 Rotowire-Colton 3
Jeremy Affeldt, SF $3 Rotowire-Colton 3
J.A. Happ, TOR $3 USA TODAY Sports 3
Zach Putnam, CWS $3 Fangraphs 3 Rotowire-Colton 3
Vance Worley, PIT $1 MLB.com 1
Ruben Tejada, NYM $1 Rotowire-Colton 1
Ryan Hanigan, TB $1 Baseball HQ 1

UNAWARDED BIDS

Joe Panik, SF KFFL.com 1
Brian Roberts, NYY KFFL.com 1
David Phelps, NYY MLB.com 1
Gregor Blanco, SF Rotowire-Colton 1
Eric Campbell, NYM Rotowire-Colton 1
Kevin Kiermaier, TB Rotowire-Colton 1
Zack Cozart, CIN Rotowire-Colton 1

Todd Zola's Commentary

You always need to acquire the best player in a deal, right? Hogwash, I say. Your overall team outlook needs to be improved after a deal. I made the next swap in my effort to climb out of last place by dealing Mike Trout, Aroldis Chapman, Doug Fister and Chris Owings for Troy Tulowitzki, Curtis Granderson, Rafael Soriano and Tyler Clippard. Well, OK, there isn't that much of a difference between Trout and a healthy Tulo but in general I'm not a fan of any advice that included the words always or never.

Offensively, I should accrue more counting stats from the Tulowitzki and Granderson pair than from Trout and Owings and that's where I need the most help - HR, RBI and runs. I'm last in steals with little chance of anything more than the 1 point you get for signing your name. On the pitching side, even though I'm middle of the pack in ERA, since I'm very poor in WHIP, I expect the ERA to worsen as the season progresses so I made the decision to accept the loss and not worry about ratios and focus on wins and whiffs. Thus losing Fister isn't an issue and neither is the downgrade in closer. A points total in the middle 70's is attaiable and even though that will leave me 50 points shy of the title, it's quite an improvement from the 39 I had when I embarked on this campaign to achieve mediocrity.

Todd's Take.

It's fairly rare that the top FAAB bid in the mixed league is the same as one of the single formats but Mookie Betts pulled it off this week. The reason is while there is a reserve list in LABR, the reserve to active rules in the AL and NL formats favor using Major League players though there will always be owners that stash a prospect or two. Back in early March, Betts did not carry the prospect cache worthy of a reserve stash in this format. Note this was also true in AL Tout but Mastersball's Rob Leibowitz stealthly snagged Betts a couple weeks ago using a unique Tout rule discussed in the Tout Wars report.

Last Updated on Monday, 30 June 2014 13:18
 
Angels & Pirates Swap Troubled Closers PDF Print E-mail
MASTERSBLOG
Written by Perry Van Hook   
Friday, 27 June 2014 17:40

Friday afternoon the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and the Pittsburgh Pirates exchanged trouble closers Ernesto Frieri and Jason Grilli.

I think both of these former closers will start in 7th or 8th inning slots but have a chance to regain the closers role should Joe Smith or Marc Melancon falter in their current roles. I think Smith is more likely to need replacement.

In AL or NL only leagues they do become nice speculative additions IF you don’t have to play them right away. I wouldn’t add them in mixed leagues unless you are really save desperate but I would watch them to see if things are headed in the right direction.

Last Updated on Friday, 27 June 2014 17:43
 
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