Rotisserie Duck

Sharing The Wins PDF Print E-mail
Rotisserie Duck
Written by Don Drooker   
Friday, 26 December 2014 00:00
If you've channeled the El Guapo character from the movie "Three Amigos", you clearly know that the last few weeks have provided a plethora of big-money deals for baseball's free agents. In a sport awash with money, old-school fans are having difficulty wrapping their heads around the new budgetary guidelines. These days, even the 6th or 7th pitcher on a major league staff is commanding $6 Million a season and more.

The real question under the surface, however, is if these acquisitions can really make a difference in the standings? In other words, what is their contribution to winning games? We've discussed WAR (Wins Above Replacement) numerous times in this space and that statistical outcome does impact decisions made by writers voting on awards and General Managers making deals. It has become a mainstream analysis over the last decade and can help clarify and justify some contract amounts. For example, if you believe in the WAR calculations, it appears that the Yankees got a much better deal with Chase Headley (3.5 WAR, $13M per year x 4) than the Red Sox did with Pablo Sandoval (3.4 WAR, $19M per year x 5). Of course, that's just a snapshot of the 2014 season and all of these deals require projecting into the future.

This time, we'll turn to another statistical measure in an attempt to gauge the free agent market. The other stat that is team-result based is WS (Win Shares) as developed by the godfather of modern statistical analysis, Bill James. While trying to describe the formula is impossible (James wrote an entire book on the topic in 2002), it comes down to a system where each game a team wins during the season is meticulously analyzed and the three players most responsible for that win get a "win share." So, if a team wins 80 games, there will be 240 win shares distributed on the roster. Position players will have a tendency to accumulate higher totals than pitchers, but it's all about comparisons between players among positions. Only a handful of players had a number over 30 in 2014 and it's difficult to take exception with the results: Michael Brantley (31), Giancarlo Stanton (31), Andrew McCutchen (33), Robinson Cano (34) and Mike Trout (40). The pitching leader was Adam Wainwright (23) while Clayton Kershaw and Felix Hernandez posted 22 each. AL Cy Young Award winner Corey Kluber had 21.

Let's look at the free agent class through the prism of "Win Shares" and analyze the results...

> Max Scherzer, P - Available. The combination of intestinal fortitude and Scott Boras' influence allowed this 30-year-old righty to turn down a $144M offer from the Tigers prior to last season. His WS of 18 was very solid and follows the figure of 20 he put up in his 2013 Cy Young Award season. The best pitcher on the market, he'll probably get a deal worth at least $175M.

> Jon Lester, P - 6 year, $155M (Cubs). At age 31, he picked a great time to have his best season. He also had a WS of 18, which he has only matched once...back in 2008. Before raising the championship flags at Wrigley Field, however, remember that his WS in '13 and '12 were 12 and 8 respectively.

> James Shields, P - Available. A little older at 33, he does deliver consistency and durability. The average WS over the last four seasons is 16, so he should be able to score $20M per year on the open market.

> Hanley Ramirez, OF - 4 year, $88M (Red Sox). It seems that the reputation he built up early in his career still holds up because teams continue to pay for the player he once was. His WS from '06 to '09 averaged an incredible 29.5 but he's not that player anymore. Last season's WS of 18 is a much better gauge of his current production. Lots of corner outfielders have better numbers for less dollars.

> Pablo Sandoval, 3B - 5 year, $95M (Red Sox). According to WS, he's a much better buy than Han-Ram. His WS over the last four seasons has averaged a solid 21 and the consistency is evident with nothing under 18 during that span.

> Victor Martinez, DH - 4 year, $68M (Tigers). Giving a 36-year-old player this type of contract is a roll of the dice, but his WS of 30 in 2014 was going to translate to big dollars somewhere.

> Melky Cabrera, OF - 3 year, $42M (White Sox). Interesting that a 30-year-old outfielder couldn't get a 4-year deal. His WS of 19 last season was solid but he does have a PED suspension on his resume.

> Russell Martin, C - 5 year, $82M (Blue Jays). Another player in his thirties who cashed in on his most productive season, where he had a WS of 22. It also didn't hurt that there really weren't any other candidates at the catching position.

> Nelson Cruz, OF/DH - 4 year, $58M (Mariners). The song sounds familiar, as this 34-year-old posted his best WS ever at 22 while leading all of baseball in home runs.

> Ervin Santana, P – 4 year, $55M (Twins). A little surprising that this deal isn't much better than some less durable hurlers, but maybe his 2014 WS of 9 should tell us something. In ten seasons, he's only been above 14 once.

> David Robertson, P - 4 year, $46M (White Sox). It seemed like GM's had gotten away from this type of commitment to closers since the Jonathan Papelbon contract. With everyone in the pitching community throwing 95 MPH, replacements are easier to find than ever. His WS in each of the last two seasons has been 12.

> Brandon McCarthy, P - 4 year, $48M (Dodgers). A smart pitcher with good stuff and a lack of durability. 2014 was the first time in his career that he's logged 200 IP and his WS was 8. For about the same price, would you sign him or Santana?

> Chase Headley, 3B - 4 year, $52M (Yankees). Had one MVP-caliber campaign in 2012 when he posted a WS of 32. He's also posted a WS of 32 the last two seasons...combined.

> Andrew Miller, P - 4 year, $36M (Yankees). If you watched the Royals in the postseason, you clearly understand the value of shut-down guys in the bullpen. He posted a WS of 9 last season despite having only one save.

> Aramis Ramirez, 3B - 1 year, $14M (Brewers) - His WS of 15 shows he's not the contributor of 3-4 years ago.

> Colby Rasmus, OF - Available. He's a young free agent at age 28 and even though his 2014 WS was only 8, he's just one season removed from a number of 20. GM's understand that there's upside here.

> Jed Lowrie, SS - 3 year, $23M (Astros). Houston has the reputation of using analytics extensively, which makes this signing a head-scratcher. A 31-year-old coming off a WS season of 11 with a defensive profile that indicates he cost the A's 31 runs the last two campaigns. Must be the cost of "veteran leadership."

> Jason Hammel, P - 2 year, $20M (Cubs). Was finally healthy in 2014 and posted a 9 WS. That's the same as Santana and better than McCarthy.

> Asdrubal Cabrera, 2B - Available. Still wants to play shortstop, but his future is probably at another position. Had a productive 2014 with a WS of 15, but he's not the player he was a few years ago.

> Nick Markakis, OF - 4 year, $44M (Braves). His lack of flash seems to undermine his image to the fans and media. At this price, he's a pretty good deal with a 2014 WS of 20. Over nine seasons, he's averaged almost 18.

> Adam LaRoche, 1B - 2 year, $25M (White Sox). This might turn out to be a great short-term deal for the Pale Hose. The last three seasons, his WS has been 20, 14 and 22.

> Jake Peavy, P – 2 year, $24M (Giants). Another veteran starter with a 2014 WS of 9.

> Mike Morse, 1B/OF - 2 year, $16M (Marlins). Protection for Giancarlo Stanton at a reasonable price. His WS last year was 13 and he still might have something left in the tank.

> Michael Cuddyer, OF - 2 year, $21M (Mets). You only sign this player if you think your team can contend (he'll be 36 on opening day). Injuries limited his production in 2014, but he did post a 19 WS in '13.

> Alex Rios, OF - 1 year, $11M (Royals). His WS has dropped the last three seasons from 22 to 15 to 9 and he's going to be 34. Who were they bidding against?

> Edinson Volquez, P - 2 year, $20M (Royals). This is one of those stories that only seems to happen in baseball. A top prospect (he was traded for Josh Hamilton prior to the '08 season) who posted ERA's like 5.71 and 6.01 in his 20's. Then, at age 30, seems to figure it all out and puts up a WS of 11. In 2011 and 2013, his WS was zero (0)! America is a wonderful country.

> Torii Hunter, OF - 1 year, $10.5M (Twins). A nice story with him going back to Minnesota, but the WS of 13 was his lowest since 2005...Father Time always wins.

> A.J. Burnett, P - 1 year, $8.5M (Pirates). Took less money to go back to Pittsburgh, but he barely blipped the radar in '14 with a WS of only 3 after a total of 20 the two previous seasons.

> Francisco Rodriguez, P - Available. Here's the riddle...Robertson had 39 saves, a WS of 12 and a WAR of 1.2 that equals $11.5M per year for four years. K-Rod had 44 saves, a WS of 13, a WAR of 1.5 and is still unemployed.

> Billy Butler, DH - 3 year, $30M (A's). Seems to fly in the face of all the other moves made by Billy Beane this off-season. The WS of 12 was his lowest since '08.

Hope all your free agent signings win their share of games.

Last Updated on Thursday, 25 December 2014 23:54
Roasting Chestnuts & Bah Humbug PDF Print E-mail
Rotisserie Duck
Written by Don Drooker   
Friday, 19 December 2014 00:00
As The Old Duck heads into the stretch drive of his annual holiday funk, it becomes clear that I've never met anyone who has actually roasted a chestnut. And, if I'm sitting near a fire, the appropriate word isn't conspire, it's perspire. And, if Rudolph goes down in history, his History teacher needs to give him more homework.

After being on this planet for all these decades, it becomes easier to have a wider view of the daily proceedings. Watching people knock each other out of the way on Black Friday or hang enough lights on the house to shame Clark Griswold doesn't fit the definition of "holiday cheer." At some point, we seem to have lost our way.

Lauren Hill is a beautiful teenage girl who loves to play basketball. Earlier this year, while still playing on her high school team, Lauren started suffering vertigo and dizziness. Eventually, she was diagnosed with an inoperable brain tumor but her fortitude and resilience motivated her to at least play one game of college basketball before her time ran out. On November 2nd, she took the floor for Mt. Saint Joseph's in Ohio and scored an uncontested layup for the first basket of the game. Her tumor forced the right-handed player to shoot left-handed because it had affected her coordination. The normal attendance for a Division III game is probably about 50 people, but on this day, the crowd of 10,000 at Xavier University's arena gave her a standing ovation. The video of that moment is easy to find on the Internet and watching it should be required viewing for all of the following groups...

> Parents who have ever yelled at the umpire or referee because their kid got a bad call.

> Kids who whine when they have to do some family thing at the holidays that is "boring."

> Teenagers who think not having the newest cell phone will cause them to lose standing in their circle of friends.

> Drivers of expensive cars who show their holiday spirit by cutting you off for that parking space at the mall.

> Athletes who complain about playing time.

> People who seem insulted when you wish them "happy holidays."

It would be easy to continue the list, but you get the idea. Earlier this month, Lauren entered hospice care and time may be short. Is she scared of dying? Here's what she said. "The people that I worry about are the people I'm leaving behind." Certainly a profound statement from a 19-year-old.

So, as you celebrate the holidays, my suggestion is to keep your perspective. Never take anything for granted, cherish the people around you and maybe gather together in front of the computer screen and watch Lauren Hill score that basket.

Last Updated on Friday, 19 December 2014 01:46
Visiting With Bill James PDF Print E-mail
Rotisserie Duck
Written by Don Drooker   
Friday, 12 December 2014 00:00
Many baseball fans from the "Baby Boomer" generation haven't really bought into the immense change in how statistics are viewed. They still look at the game with their eyes and are only concerned with the numbers on the back of the baseball card. For those of us more immersed in the details of the game, the man who guided us through the wilderness is Bill James. Starting in the late 70's, he published an annual "Baseball Abstract" that began the task of analyzing data in new and different ways. By 1985, he wrote the first "Historical Baseball Abstract" and that 700+ page volume still sits on the bookshelf in my office.

For baseball fans in general and Fantasy Baseball players who participate in keeper leagues, Bill also helps us get through the winter while we're longing for box scores. Each November, The Bill James Handbook gives us a review of the season, lifetime stats of every major league player and numerous articles and lists to make the "hot stove" season tolerable. The 2015 version is available now and at 579 pages, offers just about something for everyone. The Old Duck has an annual exercise, where I take my initial cursory glance at the book and begin discovering information that surprises and enlightens me.

So, here are some random observations from my first time through the pages...

> In golf and tennis, fans can easily find current rankings on each player. The systems are set up so that the rankings move up and down based on performance and are not just for the current season. James has developed a similar idea for ranking starting pitchers. The current top five are Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez, Max Scherzer, Chris Sale and David Price. Corey Kluber was 107th going into 2014, now he's 11th.

> Most spectators are much more aware of pitch velocity than they were 10, 20 or 30 years ago. With radar guns in stadiums and in every scout's hands, we focus on that statistic and assume a pitcher's performance will deteriorate with diminished velocity. This year's handbook charts average fastball velocity by age and actually shows how little difference there is for most pitchers. Looking for outliers, however, shows that from 2007 to 2014, Tim Lincecum dropped from 94 MPH to 90 MPH, Felix Hernandez from 96 to 92, Ubaldo Jimenez from 96 to 91, Justin Verlander from 95 to 92, Jonathan Papelbon from 94 to 91 and C.C. Sabathia from 93 to 89. On the flip side, J.A. Happ increased from 88 to 93.

> Fielding metrics are relatively new and not yet accepted by fans or even by many statisticians. The handbook's "Defensive Runs Saved" chart does help us verify what we think we're told by our eyes. The Royals defense in the postseason was a major part of their winning formula, so it isn't difficult to understand that Alex Gordon saved 27 runs during the season and Lorenzo Cain saved 24. Most observers think Andrelton Simmons is the best shortstop in the game and his 28 runs saved seems to verify that opinion. Jason Heyward's 32 runs saved was the best in the game but the Mets’ Juan Lagares chipped in with 28 (for the 2nd consecutive season).

> A consistently debated topic among fans and media is the dramatic increase in defense shifts. In 2013, shifts were utilized over 8,000 times and in 2014, the number increased to over 13,000. To the naysayer, the question becomes, would teams be shifting more if it didn't work? According to the "Runs Saved" statistic, shifting saved 135 runs in 2013 and 195 runs in 2014. As bad as they were last season, the Astros led all of baseball by saving 27 runs through utilizing the shift. Using ground balls and short line-drives as the criteria, the chart of the top 30 shifted batters shines a spotlight on this trend. Slow-footed lefty hitters took the brunt of the abuse as Ryan Howard's BA in no-shift situations was .333 while into the shift, he hit .167. Chris Davis went from .333 to .121 and Carlos Santana from .321 to .144.

> In the past, players were judged as good baserunners if they swiped a lot of bases. Not only weren't their other baserunning skills not considered, even their caught stealing stats were ignored. However, as Tom Boswell pointed out over 20 years ago, a caught stealing is equivalent to two outs because it not only removes a baserunner, it also causes an out. Now we have information that tells us how often a player goes from 1st to 3rd or 2nd to home plate on a single. The handbook grades baserunning on the net amount of bases a player gains in a given season. Some visually fast runners like Carlos Gomez and Yasiel Puig diminish their value by getting thrown out and doubled up on the basepaths. Only one MLB player gained over 50 bases for his team in 2014 and it was the Phillies’ Ben Revere at 54. Leonys Martin came in at 42 and Dee Gordon at 39. Just to prove that raw speed isn't always the answer, how about Brian Dozier at 37 as well as Anthony Rendon and Jayson Werth, who both totaled 36?

> If you're wondering why pitchers like C.J. Wilson, Ubaldo Jimenez and Edwin Jackson had lousy years, the answer might align with throwing strikes. Wilson had the lowest strike percentage of any pitcher who faced at least 500 batters (58%) while Jimenez was tied for 2nd at 60% and Jackson not far behind at 61%. 13 hurlers were at 61% or lower and their cumulative ERA was 4.58. Phil Hughes was the best at 73%, followed closely by Price, Jordan Zimmermann and Kershaw. The 13 pitchers with a number of at least 68% combined for a 3.09 ERA. The "Pitcher Analysis" in the handbook gives you this information for every pitcher along with detail such as the number of 3-ball counts and the swinging strike percentage.

> Were there any successful major league pitchers who threw their fastball over 90% of the time? The "Pitchers' Repertoires" section will answer that question by telling you that there were three and all were excellent closers: Kenley Jansen, Jake McGee and Zach Britton.

That's just a taste of the information in this year's edition and we haven't even looked at the individual player stats. No wonder that "stathead" is now an accepted baseball term.

Last Updated on Friday, 12 December 2014 02:19
Tasting The Stew On The Hot Stove PDF Print E-mail
Rotisserie Duck
Written by Don Drooker   
Friday, 05 December 2014 00:00
If you are fortunate enough to play fantasy baseball in a keeper-league format, you've learned long ago that there is no off-season. Even in December, you can analyze the rosters in your league, watch the MLB transaction wire, consider trades and play General Manager. The real-world GM's are heading for the winter meetings this week and there's sure to be some action, but lots of moves have happened already. Every fan has their opinion and the Old Duck is no exception, so here's some pondering on this year's hot stove so far. Fantasy values are based on a 5x5 mixed league format and WAR (Wins Above Replacement) equals about $5.5 Million per win.


> Jason Heyward from the Braves to the Cardinals for Shelby Miller - This deal should be a case study for fantasy players, as the Braves gave up one year of Heyward's production to acquire a young starting pitcher they can keep for four seasons. One of the most common mistakes made in a keeper-league is to look at a deal as player-for-player without considering the future. Heyward earned $17 in fantasy value this past season while Miller barely had a positive value, so the 2015 stats obviously favor the Cardinals. Miller, however, will earn about $600,000 in 2015 and his 1.6 WAR from 2014 is worth almost $9 Million to his team.

> Josh Donaldson from the A's to the Blue Jays for Brett Lawrie and three prospects - We all know that Billy Beane is a very smart guy and this deal probably can't really be judged for years to come. On the surface, however, Toronto looks like the obvious winner for 2015. Donaldson's projected salary in arbitration is $4.5 Million but he produced a 7.4 WAR in 2014, making him worth an astounding $40 Million to a roster and he earned $23 in fantasy value. Lawrie is four years younger and will be much less expensive (about $1.8 Million) but he's had trouble staying on the field. The three excellent prospects help fortify the A's system, which lost some key components during their "all-in" approach to 2014. You can't help but wonder if Billy is sitting in his office saying, "Donaldson can't get any better and Lawrie can't get any worse."


> Giancarlo Stanton, 13 Years, $325 Million - This is reminiscent of many NFL contracts that carry a big price tag but aren't necessarily what they seem. The slugger will only make $107 Million over the first six years of the deal (less than $18 Million per season) and his 6.5 WAR is worth double that amount in value to the Marlins. His $34 fantasy value in 2014 was in spite of missing most of September.

> Victor Martinez, 4 years, $68 Million - At age 35, this is a real crap-shoot for the Tigers. His spectacular walk year produced a WAR of 5.3 (without playing defense at all), which justifies the dollars, but how long can he be expected to play at this level? And can he possibly produce another $37 fantasy season?

> Kyle Seager, 7 years, $100 Million - Sometimes teams must understand what they have and the Mariners made the right decision on this player. He just turned 27, has 67 home runs in three seasons and won the AL Gold Glove at 3B. He made $540,000 in 2014 and produced a WAR of 5.8, which was worth over $30 Million to the team. He joins Mike Trout, Buster Posey and Freddie Freeman as the only 4th year players to get a $100 Million payday. His $21 fantasy value could get significantly better.

Free Agents

> Russell Martin, 5 years, $82 Million - To most fans, it appears that Toronto overpaid, but a top-notch defensive catcher who can also produce at the plate is a prized commodity. Just ask the Cardinals, who signed Yadier Molina to a similar deal in 2013. Martin's WAR in 2014 was 5.5, creating a value of $30 Million, while Brian McCann's $17 Million salary with the Yankees produced only a 1.8 WAR. Which catcher would you rather have?

> Billy Butler, 3 years, $30 Million - Another head-scratcher from the A's GM, this signing may not turn out to be as bad as last year's $10 Million bust (Jim Johnson), but Butler wasn't even a positive WAR player in 2014 and this is verified by his $8 fantasy value. Exactly who were they bidding against?

> Adam LaRoche, 2 years, $25 Million - The White Sox paid exactly market value to add a left-handed bat to the lineup. HIS WAR of 2.2 equates to about $12 Million in value per season while he earned $18 in fantasy dollars.

> Pablo Sandoval, 5 years, $95 Million - If his production holds up for the Red Sox, this is another market value deal. The Panda's 3.4 WAR is equivalent to about $19 Million and he earned $14 in fantasy value.

> Hanley Ramirez, 4 years, $88 Million - A fragile player without a position makes this seem like more of a risk for the Red Sox. His 3.5 WAR was worth about $19 Million last season, so he better produce to make this contract work. His fantasy value of $17 clearly shows that he's no superstar.

> Nelson Cruz, 4 years, $58 Million - Leading the Majors in home runs gets you a nice contract, but he'll be 35 in July. A 4.7 WAR is worth $25 Million but what about ages 36-38? And, his $29 fantasy production might not get any better.

Making A Move

> Justin Upton and Yoenis Cespedes are power-hitting outfielders going into the final year of their contracts and both are rumored to be on the trading block. Which one would you rather have? In the real world, most fans would choose Upton but that might deserve a closer look. Upton's 2014 WAR was 3.1 but thanks to better defense, Cespedes ended up at 4.1. In addition, Upton's 2015 salary is $4 Million higher than Cespedes on the payroll of the team that trades for him. Yes, Upton might be a slightly better fantasy play but these two are very similar players.

So, don't forget, those chilly winter evenings can be warmed up by a hot stove.

The Clutch Chronicles - 2014 PDF Print E-mail
Rotisserie Duck
Written by Don Drooker   
Friday, 28 November 2014 00:00
The Urban Dictionary defines Clutch as, "To perform under pressure." For decades, baseball pundits and fans have extolled the virtues of players who supposedly had this trait. Their evidence, however, was only visual and anecdotal. Back in the 1970's, most people considered Tony Perez of the "Big Red Machine" one of baseball's best clutch hitters. After all, he had over 100 RBI in six seasons between 1967 and 1975. In fact, some would argue that his election to the Hall of Fame was based on this reputation.

Now that baseball is in the age of statistical analysis, our old observations may be called into question. Even a math-challenged fan understands that you can't get a plethora of RBI without baserunners. And, boy, did those Reds teams have baserunners!

Statistics on RBI Percentage (RBI-HR/Runners On) now go back to 1974, so let's see how our legendary clutch hitter fared in a season where he was an All-Star. Perez had 101 RBI, 28 homers and 489 runners on base for a RBI percentage of 14.93%. That didn't even crack the top 50 for the major leagues in '74! He finished behind household names such as Reggie Smith, Richie Zisk, Jimmy Wynn, Cesar Cedeno and Ted Simmons. The leaders were Jeff Burroughs at 21.18% and Sal Bando at 21.15%.

Our Hall-of-Famer improved considerably in 1975 as he accumulated 109 RBI with 20 homers and 489 runners on base (again). His percentage improved to 18.20% and he just snuck into the top ten for that season. The only hitters at 20% or higher were Willie Stargell at 20.48% and Thurman Munson at 20.00%.

As a fan, you certainly have an opinion on today's clutch hitters, but do the stats back you up? In 2014, there were 17 hitters who exceeded the 18.20% that Perez posted in '75. These are "Quacker's Clutch All-Stars" and we'll see how well their performance aligns with their reputation.

1) Miguel Cabrera, Tigers 1B, 22.5% - The 6th place finisher in 2013 was viewed as having a slightly down season but he was the best in the business in this category.

2) Ryan Braun, Brewers OF, 20.2% - Another perceived disappointing season coming off a PED suspension, he still contributed lots of value to the Brew Crew.

3) Devin Mesoraco, Reds C, 20.0% - An amazing breakout campaign for this backstop, he was hitting clean-up by the end of the season.

4) Michael Brantley, Indians OF, 19.9% - Yes, he's a really good player! 20 homers, 97 RBI, 23 steals and 200 hits.

5) Justin Turner, Dodgers IF, 19.6% - The best utility player in baseball for 2014.

6) Jose Abreu, White Sox 1B, 19.6% - Exceeded the hype, which isn't easy in today's Internet age.

7) Adrian Gonzalez, Dodgers 1B, 19.5% - Led all of baseball with 116 RBI...also had the most baserunners. Talk about consistency, his number was 18.7% in 2013.

8) Robinson Cano, Mariners 2B, 19.3% - Big contract, big expectations, big performance...was 7th last year with the Yankees.

9) Justin Morneau, Rockies 1B, 19.2% - Has a John Denver CD on his car stereo at all times.

10) Mike Trout, Angels OF, 19.0% - You have the privilege of watching a once-in-a-generation player.

11) Mark Trumbo, D'Backs OF, 18.7% - Watch out if he's healthy in 2015.

12) Kyle Seager, Mariners 3B, 18.7% - Another reason the Seattle squad won't backslide.

13) Kurt Suzuki, Twins C, 18.5% - Just in case you were questioning his All-Star selection.

14) Corey Dickerson, Rockies OF, 18.4% - Don't worry about his production away from Coors Field. He's not a free agent until 2020.

15) Ian Kinsler, Tigers 2B, 18.4% - A prince-of-a-deal for the Bengals.

16) Adam Lind, Brewers 1B, 18.4% - Yes, Toronto is a launching pad, but Miller is no walk-in-the-park for opposing pitchers.

17) Paul Goldschmidt, D'Backs 1B, 18.3% - Was 8th in 2013...don't doubt this talent.

The three worst clutch hitters in baseball were Brian Roberts at 8.2%, Bryce Harper at 8.3% and B.J. Upton at 8.3%. Roberts has retired, Harper isn't quite ready for the Hall of Fame just yet and B.J. is improving. Last season, he was dead last! His brother Justin had the lowest number (15.4%) of the 12 MLB hitters who had 100 RBI.

Hope all your fantasy players come through in the clutch. For more information on RBI Percentage, go to

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